Predictive Model for High-Flow Nasal Cannula Failure in COVID-19-related Acute Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure Based on Metabolomics and Clinical Data (COVIDOMICS)

November 18, 2024 updated by: Andrea Castellvi, Hospital del Mar Research Institute (IMIM)

Predictive Model for High-Flow Nasal Cannula Failure Based on Metabolomics and Clinical Data: COVID-19 As a Use Case

The aim of this prospective observational cohort study is to develop a predictive model for high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) failure in patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) caused by SARS-CoV-2. By combining clinical data and metabolomic profiles, the study seeks to answer:

- Can integrating clinical parameters with metabolomic markers enhance the prediction of HFNC failure in AHRF patients?

Participants with AHRF due to SARS-CoV-2 receiving HFNC under standard-of-care protocols will be monitored until hospital discharge or death. Blood samples for metabolomic analysis will be collected at inclusion.

Study Overview

Status

Completed

Detailed Description

This prospective observational cohort study focuses on developing and validating a predictive model for HFNC failure in patients with SARS-CoV-2-related AHRF, combining clinical parameters and metabolomic profiling. Patients received standard-of-care therapy based on hospital protocols, with clinical data and plasma samples collected at inclusion (T0) for laboratory and metabolomic analyses.

The study consists of two cohorts: a Training Cohort (March 2020 to April 2021) for model development and a Validation Cohort (May 2021 to October 2021) for model validation and external testing. HFNC outcomes were classified as success or failure, with failure defined as requiring orotracheal intubation (OTI). Advanced machine-learning techniques were employed for feature selection and model optimization, targeting precise integration of clinical and metabolomic data.

This model seeks to enhance early identification of HFNC failure risk, enabling timely interventions and personalized management in critically ill AHRF patients.

Study Type

Observational

Enrollment (Actual)

111

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Locations

      • Barcelona, Spain, 08003
        • Hospital del Mar

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

Patients admitted to Hospital del Mar in Barcelona, Spain

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Adult patients (≥18 years old) with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) confirmed as secondary to SARS-CoV-2 infection via PCR testing.
  • Requirement for high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) initiated within 48 hours of hospital admission.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Patients under the age of 18
  • Patients with active "do not resuscitate" (DNR) orders at the time of inclusion.

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort
Training Cohort
Participants included from March 2020 to April 2021 for model development.
Validation Cohort
Participants included from May 2021 to October 2021 for model validation.

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Predictive Model Development
Time Frame: From the initiation of HFNC until the need for intubation, hospital discharge, or death, whichever occurs first (up to 28 days). Completed using the Training Cohort (March 2020 to April 2021).
Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) of the final predictive model for identifying HFNC failure, measured at the time of study inclusion (T0).
From the initiation of HFNC until the need for intubation, hospital discharge, or death, whichever occurs first (up to 28 days). Completed using the Training Cohort (March 2020 to April 2021).

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Identification of Key Metabolites
Time Frame: At study inclusion (T0).
Concentrations of key metabolomic markers (e.g., anthranilic acid, octanoic acid) associated with HFNC failure, measured at T0.
At study inclusion (T0).
Validation of the Predictive Model
Time Frame: From the initiation of HFNC until the need for intubation, hospital discharge, or death, whichever occurs first (up to 28 days). Completed during the Validation Cohort phase (May to October 2021).
Performance of the predictive model in the Validation Cohort. Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) of the final predictive model for identifying HFNC failure, measured at the time of study inclusion (T0).
From the initiation of HFNC until the need for intubation, hospital discharge, or death, whichever occurs first (up to 28 days). Completed during the Validation Cohort phase (May to October 2021).

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Investigators

  • Principal Investigator: Óscar J Pozo, PhD, Hospital del Mar Research Institute
  • Principal Investigator: Joan Ramon Masclans Enviz, MD, PhD, Hospital del Mar

Publications and helpful links

The person responsible for entering information about the study voluntarily provides these publications. These may be about anything related to the study.

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

March 1, 2020

Primary Completion (Actual)

September 30, 2021

Study Completion (Actual)

December 1, 2021

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

November 15, 2024

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

November 18, 2024

First Posted (Estimated)

November 19, 2024

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Estimated)

November 19, 2024

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

November 18, 2024

Last Verified

November 1, 2024

More Information

Terms related to this study

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

NO

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

product manufactured in and exported from the U.S.

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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