Development and Validation of a Biopsy Decision Model for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Serological Markers and Endoscopic Features
An observational study combines retrospective and prospective cohorts to develop, validate, and compare models based on Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Existing clinical data will be analyzed retrospectively for model development and internal validation. Data from participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be collected prospectively for external validation. The study will assess the models' diagnostic performance and potential value in identifying individuals who may benefit from biopsy and reducing unnecessary biopsies. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice.
연구 개요
상태
상태
정황
정황
개입 / 치료
개입 / 치료
상세 설명
The study includes a retrospective cohort for model development and internal validation and a prospective cohort for external validation at participating centers. Models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination will be developed, validated, and compared.
연구 유형
연구 유형
등록 (추정된)
등록
연락처 및 위치
연구 연락처
연구 연락처
- 이름: Mingfang Ji
- 전화번호: 86-0760-89880417
- 이메일: jmftbh@sina.com
연구 장소
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Guangdong
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Zhongshan, Guangdong, 중국, 528403
- Zhongshan City People's Hospital
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연락하다:
- Mingfang Ji
- 전화번호: 86-0760-89880417
- 이메일: jmftbh@sina.com
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Guangxi
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Nanning, Guangxi, 중국, 530022
- People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region
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연락하다:
- Shenhong Qu, MD PhD
- 전화번호: 86 15676172501
- 이메일: xhh2501@126.com
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참여기준
자격 기준
자격 기준
공부할 수 있는 나이
건강한 자원 봉사자를 받아들입니다
연구 대상 성별
샘플링 방법
연구 인구
The study population comprises individuals undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC at participating hospitals. The retrospective cohort will use existing clinical records, while the prospective cohort will enroll eligible individuals consecutively.
설명
Inclusion Criteria:
- Voluntarily agree to participate in the study and provide written informed consent;
- Be aged ≥18 years;
- Have available EBV-related serological test results or be able to provide blood samples for the relevant testing;
- Undergo nasopharyngeal endoscopy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma risk assessment or suspected nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
- Undergo nasopharyngeal biopsy as part of routine clinical care.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Previous confirmed diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma or prior treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
- Receipt of immunosuppressive therapy or other treatments that may affect serum antibody levels within the past 6 months;
- Severe organ dysfunction, including decompensated heart failure, respiratory failure, decompensated liver cirrhosis, or renal failure.
공부 계획
연구는 어떻게 설계됩니까?
디자인 세부사항
- 관찰 모델: COHORT
- 시간 관점: OTHER
그룹/코호트 수
코호트 및 개입
그룹/코호트그룹/코호트 |
개입 / 치료개입 / 치료 |
|---|---|
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Training Cohort
Participants selected from existing clinical records who underwent nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be analyzed for model development. |
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
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Internal Validation Cohort
Participants from the retrospective study population who are not included in the training cohort. Their EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be used for internal validation of the developed models. |
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
|
External Validation Cohort
Participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be enrolled prospectively. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses from clinically indicated biopsies will be collected for external validation of the developed models. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice. |
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
연구는 무엇을 측정합니까?
주요 결과 측정
주요 결과 측정
결과 측정 |
측정값 설명 |
기간 |
|---|---|---|
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Sensitivity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
기간: Baseline
|
Sensitivity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
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Specificity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
기간: Baseline
|
Specificity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
2차 결과 측정
2차 결과 측정
결과 측정 |
측정값 설명 |
기간 |
|---|---|---|
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Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
기간: Baseline
|
AUCs and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
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Calibration intercept of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
기간: Baseline
|
The calibration intercept will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. An intercept of 0 indicates ideal calibration in this respect. |
Baseline
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Calibration slope of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
기간: Baseline
|
The calibration slope will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. A slope of 1 indicates ideal calibration in this respect. |
Baseline
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Brier score of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
기간: Baseline
|
The Brier score will be calculated for each model as the mean squared difference between predicted probabilities and histopathological outcomes, coded as 1 for nasopharyngeal carcinoma and 0 otherwise, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. Scores range from 0 to 1, with lower scores indicating better overall predictive accuracy. |
Baseline
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Positive predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
기간: Baseline
|
Positive predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
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Negative predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
기간: Baseline
|
Negative predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
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Net benefit of model-based biopsy strategies
기간: Baseline
|
Decision curve analysis will be used to assess and compare the net benefit of biopsy strategies based on serological, endoscopic, and combined models with biopsy-all and biopsy-none strategies across risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
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Potential percentage of biopsies avoided using model-based strategies at prespecified risk thresholds
기간: Baseline
|
For each serological, endoscopic, and combined model, the potential percentage of biopsies avoided will be calculated as the percentage of all evaluated participants undergoing biopsy whose predicted risk is below the prespecified threshold. This represents the potential reduction in biopsies relative to a biopsy-all strategy and will be assessed separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. |
Baseline
|
공동 작업자 및 조사자
협력자
협력자
연구 기록 날짜
연구 주요 날짜
연구 시작 (추정된)
연구 시작
기본 완료 (추정된)
기본 완료
연구 완료 (추정된)
연구 완료
연구 등록 날짜
최초 제출
최초 제출
QC 기준을 충족하는 최초 제출
QC 기준을 충족하는 최초 제출
처음 게시됨 (실제)
처음 게시됨
연구 기록 업데이트
마지막 업데이트 게시됨 (실제)
마지막 업데이트 게시됨
QC 기준을 충족하는 마지막 업데이트 제출
QC 기준을 충족하는 마지막 업데이트 제출
마지막으로 확인됨
마지막으로 확인됨
추가 정보
이 연구와 관련된 용어
키워드
추가 관련 MeSH 약관
기타 연구 ID 번호
기타 연구 ID 번호
- NPC-2026-biopsymodel
개별 참가자 데이터(IPD) 계획
개별 참가자 데이터(IPD)를 공유할 계획입니까?
약물 및 장치 정보, 연구 문서
미국 FDA 규제 의약품 연구
미국 FDA 규제 기기 제품 연구
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