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Development and Validation of a Biopsy Decision Model for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Serological Markers and Endoscopic Features

1. November 2026 aktualisiert von: Mingfang Ji, Zhongshan People's Hospital, Guangdong, China

An observational study combines retrospective and prospective cohorts to develop, validate, and compare models based on Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Existing clinical data will be analyzed retrospectively for model development and internal validation. Data from participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be collected prospectively for external validation. The study will assess the models' diagnostic performance and potential value in identifying individuals who may benefit from biopsy and reducing unnecessary biopsies. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice.

Studienübersicht

Status

Noch keine Rekrutierung

Bedingungen

Intervention / Behandlung

Detaillierte Beschreibung

The study includes a retrospective cohort for model development and internal validation and a prospective cohort for external validation at participating centers. Models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination will be developed, validated, and compared.

Studientyp

Beobachtungs

Einschreibung (Geschätzt)

1500

Kontakte und Standorte

Dieser Abschnitt enthält die Kontaktdaten derjenigen, die die Studie durchführen, und Informationen darüber, wo diese Studie durchgeführt wird.

Studienkontakt

  • Name: Mingfang Ji
  • Telefonnummer: 86-0760-89880417
  • E-Mail: jmftbh@sina.com

Studienorte

    • Guangdong
      • Zhongshan, Guangdong, China, 528403
        • Zhongshan City People's Hospital
        • Kontakt:
    • Guangxi
      • Nanning, Guangxi, China, 530022
        • People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region
        • Kontakt:
          • Shenhong Qu, MD PhD
          • Telefonnummer: 86 15676172501
          • E-Mail: xhh2501@126.com

Teilnahmekriterien

Forscher suchen nach Personen, die einer bestimmten Beschreibung entsprechen, die als Auswahlkriterien bezeichnet werden. Einige Beispiele für diese Kriterien sind der allgemeine Gesundheitszustand einer Person oder frühere Behandlungen.

Zulassungskriterien

Studienberechtigtes Alter

18 Jahre und älter (Erwachsene, Älterer Erwachsener)

Akzeptiert gesunde Freiwillige

Nein

Studienberechtigte Geschlechter

Alle

Probenahmeverfahren

Nicht-Wahrscheinlichkeitsprobe

Studienpopulation

The study population comprises individuals undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC at participating hospitals. The retrospective cohort will use existing clinical records, while the prospective cohort will enroll eligible individuals consecutively.

Beschreibung

Inclusion Criteria:

  1. Voluntarily agree to participate in the study and provide written informed consent;
  2. Be aged ≥18 years;
  3. Have available EBV-related serological test results or be able to provide blood samples for the relevant testing;
  4. Undergo nasopharyngeal endoscopy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma risk assessment or suspected nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
  5. Undergo nasopharyngeal biopsy as part of routine clinical care.

Exclusion Criteria:

  1. Previous confirmed diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma or prior treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
  2. Receipt of immunosuppressive therapy or other treatments that may affect serum antibody levels within the past 6 months;
  3. Severe organ dysfunction, including decompensated heart failure, respiratory failure, decompensated liver cirrhosis, or renal failure.

Studienplan

Dieser Abschnitt enthält Einzelheiten zum Studienplan, einschließlich des Studiendesigns und der Messung der Studieninhalte.

Wie ist die Studie aufgebaut?

Designdetails

  • Beobachtungsmodelle: COHORT
  • Zeitperspektiven: OTHER

Kohorten und Interventionen

Gruppe / Kohorte
Intervention / Behandlung
Training Cohort

Participants selected from existing clinical records who underwent nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be analyzed for model development.

EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice.

Internal Validation Cohort

Participants from the retrospective study population who are not included in the training cohort. Their EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be used for internal validation of the developed models.

EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice.

External Validation Cohort

Participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be enrolled prospectively. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses from clinically indicated biopsies will be collected for external validation of the developed models. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice.

EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice.

Was misst die Studie?

Primäre Ergebnismessungen

Ergebnis Maßnahme
Maßnahmenbeschreibung
Zeitfenster
Sensitivity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Zeitfenster: Baseline

Sensitivity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

Baseline
Specificity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Zeitfenster: Baseline

Specificity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

Baseline

Sekundäre Ergebnismessungen

Ergebnis Maßnahme
Maßnahmenbeschreibung
Zeitfenster
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Zeitfenster: Baseline

AUCs and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

Baseline
Calibration intercept of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Zeitfenster: Baseline

The calibration intercept will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. An intercept of 0 indicates ideal calibration in this respect.

Baseline
Calibration slope of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Zeitfenster: Baseline

The calibration slope will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. A slope of 1 indicates ideal calibration in this respect.

Baseline
Brier score of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Zeitfenster: Baseline

The Brier score will be calculated for each model as the mean squared difference between predicted probabilities and histopathological outcomes, coded as 1 for nasopharyngeal carcinoma and 0 otherwise, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. Scores range from 0 to 1, with lower scores indicating better overall predictive accuracy.

Baseline
Positive predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Zeitfenster: Baseline

Positive predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

Baseline
Negative predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Zeitfenster: Baseline

Negative predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

Baseline
Net benefit of model-based biopsy strategies
Zeitfenster: Baseline

Decision curve analysis will be used to assess and compare the net benefit of biopsy strategies based on serological, endoscopic, and combined models with biopsy-all and biopsy-none strategies across risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

Baseline
Potential percentage of biopsies avoided using model-based strategies at prespecified risk thresholds
Zeitfenster: Baseline

For each serological, endoscopic, and combined model, the potential percentage of biopsies avoided will be calculated as the percentage of all evaluated participants undergoing biopsy whose predicted risk is below the prespecified threshold. This represents the potential reduction in biopsies relative to a biopsy-all strategy and will be assessed separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort.

Baseline

Mitarbeiter und Ermittler

Hier finden Sie Personen und Organisationen, die an dieser Studie beteiligt sind.

Sponsor

Mitarbeiter

Studienaufzeichnungsdaten

Diese Daten verfolgen den Fortschritt der Übermittlung von Studienaufzeichnungen und zusammenfassenden Ergebnissen an ClinicalTrials.gov. Studienaufzeichnungen und gemeldete Ergebnisse werden von der National Library of Medicine (NLM) überprüft, um sicherzustellen, dass sie bestimmten Qualitätskontrollstandards entsprechen, bevor sie auf der öffentlichen Website veröffentlicht werden.

Haupttermine studieren

Studienbeginn (Geschätzt)

1. November 2026

Primärer Abschluss (Geschätzt)

30. Juni 2028

Studienabschluss (Geschätzt)

30. Juni 2028

Studienanmeldedaten

Zuerst eingereicht

17. September 2026

Zuerst eingereicht, das die QC-Kriterien erfüllt hat

1. November 2026

Zuerst gepostet (Tatsächlich)

5. November 2026

Studienaufzeichnungsaktualisierungen

Letztes Update gepostet (Tatsächlich)

5. November 2026

Letztes eingereichtes Update, das die QC-Kriterien erfüllt

1. November 2026

Zuletzt verifiziert

1. September 2026

Mehr Informationen

Begriffe im Zusammenhang mit dieser Studie

Andere Studien-ID-Nummern

  • NPC-2026-biopsymodel

Plan für individuelle Teilnehmerdaten (IPD)

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UNENTSCHIEDEN

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Studiert ein von der US-amerikanischen FDA reguliertes Arzneimittelprodukt

Nein

Studiert ein von der US-amerikanischen FDA reguliertes Geräteprodukt

Nein

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