Development and Validation of a Biopsy Decision Model for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Serological Markers and Endoscopic Features
An observational study combines retrospective and prospective cohorts to develop, validate, and compare models based on Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Existing clinical data will be analyzed retrospectively for model development and internal validation. Data from participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be collected prospectively for external validation. The study will assess the models' diagnostic performance and potential value in identifying individuals who may benefit from biopsy and reducing unnecessary biopsies. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice.
Přehled studie
Postavení
Postavení
Podmínky
Podmínky
Intervence / Léčba
Intervence / Léčba
Detailní popis
The study includes a retrospective cohort for model development and internal validation and a prospective cohort for external validation at participating centers. Models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination will be developed, validated, and compared.
Typ studie
Typ studie
Zápis (Odhadovaný)
Zápis
Kontakty a umístění
Studijní kontakt
Studijní kontakt
- Jméno: Mingfang Ji
- Telefonní číslo: 86-0760-89880417
- E-mail: jmftbh@sina.com
Studijní místa
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Guangdong
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Zhongshan, Guangdong, Čína, 528403
- Zhongshan City People's Hospital
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Kontakt:
- Mingfang Ji
- Telefonní číslo: 86-0760-89880417
- E-mail: jmftbh@sina.com
-
-
Guangxi
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Nanning, Guangxi, Čína, 530022
- People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region
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Kontakt:
- Shenhong Qu, MD PhD
- Telefonní číslo: 86 15676172501
- E-mail: xhh2501@126.com
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Kritéria účasti
Kritéria způsobilosti
Kritéria způsobilosti
Věk způsobilý ke studiu
Přijímá zdravé dobrovolníky
Pohlaví způsobilá ke studiu
Metoda odběru vzorků
Studijní populace
The study population comprises individuals undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC at participating hospitals. The retrospective cohort will use existing clinical records, while the prospective cohort will enroll eligible individuals consecutively.
Popis
Inclusion Criteria:
- Voluntarily agree to participate in the study and provide written informed consent;
- Be aged ≥18 years;
- Have available EBV-related serological test results or be able to provide blood samples for the relevant testing;
- Undergo nasopharyngeal endoscopy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma risk assessment or suspected nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
- Undergo nasopharyngeal biopsy as part of routine clinical care.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Previous confirmed diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma or prior treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
- Receipt of immunosuppressive therapy or other treatments that may affect serum antibody levels within the past 6 months;
- Severe organ dysfunction, including decompensated heart failure, respiratory failure, decompensated liver cirrhosis, or renal failure.
Studijní plán
Jak je studie koncipována?
Detaily designu
- Observační modely: COHORT
- Časové perspektivy: OTHER
Počet skupin / kohort
Kohorty a intervence
Skupina / kohortaSkupina / kohorta |
Intervence / LéčbaIntervence / Léčba |
|---|---|
|
Training Cohort
Participants selected from existing clinical records who underwent nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be analyzed for model development. |
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
|
Internal Validation Cohort
Participants from the retrospective study population who are not included in the training cohort. Their EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be used for internal validation of the developed models. |
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
|
External Validation Cohort
Participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be enrolled prospectively. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses from clinically indicated biopsies will be collected for external validation of the developed models. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice. |
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
Co je měření studie?
Primární výstupní opatření
Primární výstupní opatření
Měření výsledku |
Popis opatření |
Časové okno |
|---|---|---|
|
Sensitivity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Časové okno: Baseline
|
Sensitivity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Specificity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Časové okno: Baseline
|
Specificity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
Sekundární výstupní opatření
Sekundární výstupní opatření
Měření výsledku |
Popis opatření |
Časové okno |
|---|---|---|
|
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Časové okno: Baseline
|
AUCs and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Calibration intercept of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Časové okno: Baseline
|
The calibration intercept will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. An intercept of 0 indicates ideal calibration in this respect. |
Baseline
|
|
Calibration slope of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Časové okno: Baseline
|
The calibration slope will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. A slope of 1 indicates ideal calibration in this respect. |
Baseline
|
|
Brier score of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Časové okno: Baseline
|
The Brier score will be calculated for each model as the mean squared difference between predicted probabilities and histopathological outcomes, coded as 1 for nasopharyngeal carcinoma and 0 otherwise, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. Scores range from 0 to 1, with lower scores indicating better overall predictive accuracy. |
Baseline
|
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Positive predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Časové okno: Baseline
|
Positive predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Negative predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Časové okno: Baseline
|
Negative predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
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Net benefit of model-based biopsy strategies
Časové okno: Baseline
|
Decision curve analysis will be used to assess and compare the net benefit of biopsy strategies based on serological, endoscopic, and combined models with biopsy-all and biopsy-none strategies across risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Potential percentage of biopsies avoided using model-based strategies at prespecified risk thresholds
Časové okno: Baseline
|
For each serological, endoscopic, and combined model, the potential percentage of biopsies avoided will be calculated as the percentage of all evaluated participants undergoing biopsy whose predicted risk is below the prespecified threshold. This represents the potential reduction in biopsies relative to a biopsy-all strategy and will be assessed separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. |
Baseline
|
Spolupracovníci a vyšetřovatelé
Sponzor
Sponzor
Spolupracovníci
Spolupracovníci
Termíny studijních záznamů
Hlavní termíny studia
Začátek studia (Odhadovaný)
Začátek studia
Primární dokončení (Odhadovaný)
Primární dokončení
Dokončení studie (Odhadovaný)
Dokončení studie
Termíny zápisu do studia
První předloženo
První předloženo
První předloženo, které splnilo kritéria kontroly kvality
První předloženo, které splnilo kritéria kontroly kvality
První zveřejněno (Aktuální)
První zveřejněno
Aktualizace studijních záznamů
Poslední zveřejněná aktualizace (Aktuální)
Poslední zveřejněná aktualizace
Odeslaná poslední aktualizace, která splnila kritéria kontroly kvality
Odeslaná poslední aktualizace, která splnila kritéria kontroly kvality
Naposledy ověřeno
Naposledy ověřeno
Více informací
Termíny související s touto studií
Klíčová slova
Další relevantní podmínky MeSH
- Stomatognátní onemocnění
- Novotvary podle místa
- Novotvary
- Novotvary podle histologického typu
- Novotvary hlavy a krku
- Novotvary, žlázové a epiteliální
- Karcinom
- Otorinolaryngologická onemocnění
- Novotvary hltanu
- Otorinolaryngologické novotvary
- Nemoci nosohltanu
- Faryngeální onemocnění
- Novotvary nosohltanu
- Karcinom nosohltanu
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- NPC-2026-biopsymodel
Plán pro data jednotlivých účastníků (IPD)
Plánujete sdílet data jednotlivých účastníků (IPD)?
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