Development and Validation of a Biopsy Decision Model for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Serological Markers and Endoscopic Features
An observational study combines retrospective and prospective cohorts to develop, validate, and compare models based on Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Existing clinical data will be analyzed retrospectively for model development and internal validation. Data from participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be collected prospectively for external validation. The study will assess the models' diagnostic performance and potential value in identifying individuals who may benefit from biopsy and reducing unnecessary biopsies. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice.
Studie Overzicht
Toestand
Toestand
Conditie
Conditie
Interventie / Behandeling
Interventie / Behandeling
Gedetailleerde beschrijving
The study includes a retrospective cohort for model development and internal validation and a prospective cohort for external validation at participating centers. Models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination will be developed, validated, and compared.
Studietype
Studietype
Inschrijving (Geschat)
Inschrijving
Contacten en locaties
Studiecontact
Studiecontact
- Naam: Mingfang Ji
- Telefoonnummer: 86-0760-89880417
- E-mail: jmftbh@sina.com
Studie Locaties
-
-
Guangdong
-
Zhongshan, Guangdong, China, 528403
- Zhongshan City People's Hospital
-
Contact:
- Mingfang Ji
- Telefoonnummer: 86-0760-89880417
- E-mail: jmftbh@sina.com
-
-
Guangxi
-
Nanning, Guangxi, China, 530022
- People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region
-
Contact:
- Shenhong Qu, MD PhD
- Telefoonnummer: 86 15676172501
- E-mail: xhh2501@126.com
-
-
Deelname Criteria
Geschiktheidscriteria
Geschiktheidscriteria
Leeftijden die in aanmerking komen voor studie
Accepteert gezonde vrijwilligers
Geslachten die in aanmerking komen voor studie
Bemonsteringsmethode
Studie Bevolking
The study population comprises individuals undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC at participating hospitals. The retrospective cohort will use existing clinical records, while the prospective cohort will enroll eligible individuals consecutively.
Beschrijving
Inclusion Criteria:
- Voluntarily agree to participate in the study and provide written informed consent;
- Be aged ≥18 years;
- Have available EBV-related serological test results or be able to provide blood samples for the relevant testing;
- Undergo nasopharyngeal endoscopy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma risk assessment or suspected nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
- Undergo nasopharyngeal biopsy as part of routine clinical care.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Previous confirmed diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma or prior treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
- Receipt of immunosuppressive therapy or other treatments that may affect serum antibody levels within the past 6 months;
- Severe organ dysfunction, including decompensated heart failure, respiratory failure, decompensated liver cirrhosis, or renal failure.
Studie plan
Hoe is de studie opgezet?
Ontwerpdetails
- Observatiemodellen: COHORT
- Tijdsperspectieven: OTHER
Aantal groepen / cohorten
Cohorten en interventies
Groep / CohortGroep / Cohort |
Interventie / BehandelingInterventie / Behandeling |
|---|---|
|
Training Cohort
Participants selected from existing clinical records who underwent nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be analyzed for model development. |
Diagnostische toets: Assessment of EBV-related blood biomarkers and nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
|
Internal Validation Cohort
Participants from the retrospective study population who are not included in the training cohort. Their EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be used for internal validation of the developed models. |
Diagnostische toets: Assessment of EBV-related blood biomarkers and nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
|
External Validation Cohort
Participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be enrolled prospectively. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses from clinically indicated biopsies will be collected for external validation of the developed models. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice. |
Diagnostische toets: Assessment of EBV-related blood biomarkers and nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
Wat meet het onderzoek?
Primaire uitkomstmaten
Primaire uitkomstmaten
Uitkomstmaat |
Maatregel Beschrijving |
Tijdsspanne |
|---|---|---|
|
Sensitivity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
Sensitivity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Specificity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
Specificity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
Secundaire uitkomstmaten
Secundaire uitkomstmaten
Uitkomstmaat |
Maatregel Beschrijving |
Tijdsspanne |
|---|---|---|
|
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
AUCs and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Calibration intercept of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
The calibration intercept will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. An intercept of 0 indicates ideal calibration in this respect. |
Baseline
|
|
Calibration slope of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
The calibration slope will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. A slope of 1 indicates ideal calibration in this respect. |
Baseline
|
|
Brier score of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
The Brier score will be calculated for each model as the mean squared difference between predicted probabilities and histopathological outcomes, coded as 1 for nasopharyngeal carcinoma and 0 otherwise, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. Scores range from 0 to 1, with lower scores indicating better overall predictive accuracy. |
Baseline
|
|
Positive predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
Positive predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Negative predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
Negative predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Net benefit of model-based biopsy strategies
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
Decision curve analysis will be used to assess and compare the net benefit of biopsy strategies based on serological, endoscopic, and combined models with biopsy-all and biopsy-none strategies across risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Potential percentage of biopsies avoided using model-based strategies at prespecified risk thresholds
Tijdsspanne: Baseline
|
For each serological, endoscopic, and combined model, the potential percentage of biopsies avoided will be calculated as the percentage of all evaluated participants undergoing biopsy whose predicted risk is below the prespecified threshold. This represents the potential reduction in biopsies relative to a biopsy-all strategy and will be assessed separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. |
Baseline
|
Medewerkers en onderzoekers
Sponsor
Sponsor
Medewerkers
Medewerkers
Studie record data
Bestudeer belangrijke data
Studie start (Geschat)
Studie start
Primaire voltooiing (Geschat)
Primaire voltooiing
Studie voltooiing (Geschat)
Studie voltooiing
Studieregistratiedata
Eerst ingediend
Eerst ingediend
Eerst ingediend dat voldeed aan de QC-criteria
Eerst ingediend dat voldeed aan de QC-criteria
Eerst geplaatst (Werkelijk)
Eerst geplaatst
Updates van studierecords
Laatste update geplaatst (Werkelijk)
Laatste update geplaatst
Laatste update ingediend die voldeed aan QC-criteria
Laatste update ingediend die voldeed aan QC-criteria
Laatst geverifieerd
Laatst geverifieerd
Meer informatie
Termen gerelateerd aan deze studie
Trefwoorden
Aanvullende relevante MeSH-voorwaarden
- Stomatognatische ziekten
- Neoplasmata per site
- Neoplasmata
- Neoplasmata per histologisch type
- Hoofd- en nekneoplasmata
- Neoplasmata, glandulair en epitheel
- Carcinoom
- KNO-ziekten
- Faryngeale neoplasmata
- Otorinolaryngologische neoplasmata
- Nasofaryngeale ziekten
- Faryngeale ziekten
- Nasofaryngeale neoplasmata
- Nasofarynxcarcinoom
Andere studie-ID-nummers
Andere studie-ID-nummers
- NPC-2026-biopsymodel
Plan Individuele Deelnemersgegevens (IPD)
Bent u van plan om gegevens van individuele deelnemers (IPD) te delen?
Informatie over medicijnen en apparaten, studiedocumenten
Bestudeert een door de Amerikaanse FDA gereguleerd geneesmiddel
Bestudeert een door de Amerikaanse FDA gereguleerd apparaatproduct
Deze informatie is zonder wijzigingen rechtstreeks van de website clinicaltrials.gov gehaald. Als u verzoeken heeft om uw onderzoeksgegevens te wijzigen, te verwijderen of bij te werken, neem dan contact op met register@clinicaltrials.gov. Zodra er een wijziging wordt doorgevoerd op clinicaltrials.gov, wordt deze ook automatisch bijgewerkt op onze website .