Development and Validation of a Biopsy Decision Model for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Serological Markers and Endoscopic Features
An observational study combines retrospective and prospective cohorts to develop, validate, and compare models based on Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Existing clinical data will be analyzed retrospectively for model development and internal validation. Data from participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be collected prospectively for external validation. The study will assess the models' diagnostic performance and potential value in identifying individuals who may benefit from biopsy and reducing unnecessary biopsies. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice.
Обзор исследования
Статус
Статус
Условия
Условия
Вмешательство/лечение
Вмешательство/лечение
Подробное описание
The study includes a retrospective cohort for model development and internal validation and a prospective cohort for external validation at participating centers. Models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination will be developed, validated, and compared.
Тип исследования
Тип исследования
Регистрация (Оцененный)
Регистрация
Контакты и местонахождение
Контакты исследования
Контакты исследования
- Имя: Mingfang Ji
- Номер телефона: 86-0760-89880417
- Электронная почта: jmftbh@sina.com
Места учебы
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Guangdong
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Zhongshan, Guangdong, Китай, 528403
- Zhongshan City People's Hospital
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Контакт:
- Mingfang Ji
- Номер телефона: 86-0760-89880417
- Электронная почта: jmftbh@sina.com
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Guangxi
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Nanning, Guangxi, Китай, 530022
- People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region
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Контакт:
- Shenhong Qu, MD PhD
- Номер телефона: 86 15676172501
- Электронная почта: xhh2501@126.com
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Критерии участия
Критерии приемлемости
Критерии приемлемости
Возраст, подходящий для обучения
Принимает здоровых добровольцев
Полы, имеющие право на обучение
Метод выборки
Исследуемая популяция
The study population comprises individuals undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC at participating hospitals. The retrospective cohort will use existing clinical records, while the prospective cohort will enroll eligible individuals consecutively.
Описание
Inclusion Criteria:
- Voluntarily agree to participate in the study and provide written informed consent;
- Be aged ≥18 years;
- Have available EBV-related serological test results or be able to provide blood samples for the relevant testing;
- Undergo nasopharyngeal endoscopy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma risk assessment or suspected nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
- Undergo nasopharyngeal biopsy as part of routine clinical care.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Previous confirmed diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma or prior treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
- Receipt of immunosuppressive therapy or other treatments that may affect serum antibody levels within the past 6 months;
- Severe organ dysfunction, including decompensated heart failure, respiratory failure, decompensated liver cirrhosis, or renal failure.
Учебный план
Как устроено исследование?
Детали дизайна
- Наблюдательные модели: COHORT
- Временные перспективы: OTHER
Количество групп / когорт
Когорты и вмешательства
Группа / когортаГруппа / когорта |
Вмешательство/лечениеВмешательство/лечение |
|---|---|
|
Training Cohort
Participants selected from existing clinical records who underwent nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be analyzed for model development. |
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
|
Internal Validation Cohort
Participants from the retrospective study population who are not included in the training cohort. Their EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be used for internal validation of the developed models. |
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
|
External Validation Cohort
Participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be enrolled prospectively. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses from clinically indicated biopsies will be collected for external validation of the developed models. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice. |
EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice. |
Что измеряет исследование?
Первичные показатели результатов
Первичные показатели результатов
Мера результата |
Мера Описание |
Временное ограничение |
|---|---|---|
|
Sensitivity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
Sensitivity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
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|
Specificity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
Specificity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
Вторичные показатели результатов
Вторичные показатели результатов
Мера результата |
Мера Описание |
Временное ограничение |
|---|---|---|
|
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
AUCs and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Calibration intercept of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
The calibration intercept will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. An intercept of 0 indicates ideal calibration in this respect. |
Baseline
|
|
Calibration slope of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
The calibration slope will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. A slope of 1 indicates ideal calibration in this respect. |
Baseline
|
|
Brier score of serological, endoscopic, and combined models
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
The Brier score will be calculated for each model as the mean squared difference between predicted probabilities and histopathological outcomes, coded as 1 for nasopharyngeal carcinoma and 0 otherwise, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. Scores range from 0 to 1, with lower scores indicating better overall predictive accuracy. |
Baseline
|
|
Positive predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
Positive predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Negative predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
Negative predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Net benefit of model-based biopsy strategies
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
Decision curve analysis will be used to assess and compare the net benefit of biopsy strategies based on serological, endoscopic, and combined models with biopsy-all and biopsy-none strategies across risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard. |
Baseline
|
|
Potential percentage of biopsies avoided using model-based strategies at prespecified risk thresholds
Временное ограничение: Baseline
|
For each serological, endoscopic, and combined model, the potential percentage of biopsies avoided will be calculated as the percentage of all evaluated participants undergoing biopsy whose predicted risk is below the prespecified threshold. This represents the potential reduction in biopsies relative to a biopsy-all strategy and will be assessed separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. |
Baseline
|
Соавторы и исследователи
Спонсор
Спонсор
Соавторы
Соавторы
Даты записи исследования
Изучение основных дат
Начало исследования (Оцененный)
Начало исследования
Первичное завершение (Оцененный)
Первичное завершение
Завершение исследования (Оцененный)
Завершение исследования
Даты регистрации исследования
Первый отправленный
Первый отправленный
Впервые представлено, что соответствует критериям контроля качества
Впервые представлено, что соответствует критериям контроля качества
Первый опубликованный (Действительный)
Первый опубликованный
Обновления учебных записей
Последнее опубликованное обновление (Действительный)
Последнее опубликованное обновление
Последнее отправленное обновление, отвечающее критериям контроля качества
Последнее отправленное обновление, отвечающее критериям контроля качества
Последняя проверка
Последняя проверка
Дополнительная информация
Термины, связанные с этим исследованием
Ключевые слова
Дополнительные соответствующие термины MeSH
- Стоматогнатические заболевания
- Новообразования по локализации
- Новообразования
- Новообразования по гистологическому типу
- Новообразования головы и шеи
- Новообразования железистые и эпителиальные
- Карцинома
- Оториноларингологические заболевания
- Новообразования глотки
- Оториноларингологические новообразования
- Заболевания носоглотки
- Заболевания глотки
- Новообразования носоглотки
- Назофарингеальная карцинома
Другие идентификационные номера исследования
Другие идентификационные номера исследования
- NPC-2026-biopsymodel
Планирование данных отдельных участников (IPD)
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Информация о лекарствах и устройствах, исследовательские документы
Изучает лекарственный продукт, регулируемый FDA США.
Изучает продукт устройства, регулируемый Управлением по санитарному надзору за качеством пищевых продуктов и медикаментов США.
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