Predictive Models on Psychosocial Profile, Fatigue and Sleep Quality

March 3, 2026 updated by: University of Castilla-La Mancha

Development of Artificial Intelligence-Based Predictive Models to Analyze the Impact of Psychosocial Profile, Fatigue, and Sleep Quality on Disease Severity in Patients With Fibromyalgia

The primary goal of this research project is to develop different prediction models in fibromyalgia disease through the application of machine learning techniques and to assess the explainability of the results. As specific objective the research project intends to evaluate the influence of psychosocial variables, fatigue, and sleep quality on the prediction of disease severity in patients with fibromyalgia using an artificial intelligence-based model.

Study Overview

Status

Not yet recruiting

Conditions

Detailed Description

Fibromyalgia (FM) is a condition characterized by chronic musculoskeletal pain, the pathophysiology of which remains unclear. In addition, this disorder is frequently associated with sleep disturbances, pronounced fatigue, morning stiffness, poor quality of life, cognitive alterations (primarily memory-related problems), and psychological disturbances, including depression, anxiety, and stress.

FM is significantly more prevalent in women, with an estimated female-to-male ratio of approximately 3:1. Its prevalence in the adult population is estimated at 2-3%, increasing with age and peaking between 45 and 65 years. The socioeconomic and healthcare burden of this condition is substantial, as FM is associated with high rates of medical consultations, unemployment, work disability, and the need for disability-related financial support.

FM has been linked to higher levels of negative affect, defined as a general state of distress encompassing aversive emotions such as sadness, fear, anger, and guilt. Patients with FM commonly exhibit elevated levels of anxiety, depression, pain catastrophizing, and stress, which are associated with worsening of symptoms, including cognitive impairments.

In recent years, machine learning, data mining, and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have been successfully applied to the development of computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) systems for the identification of complex health conditions, achieving good levels of accuracy and efficiency by recognizing potentially meaningful patterns in health-related data. Accordingly, these technologies provide powerful tools for multivariable data analysis, enabling model-based predictions and offering a clear advantage in risk assessment across a wide range of diseases. In addition, these approaches not only support the development of clinical predictive models but also enhance clinicians' ability to interpret and apply their results in practice.

Explainable machine learning models allow clinical experts to make data-driven decisions and to deliver personalized treatments while maintaining a high standard of care. These models fall within the field of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), which aims to develop interpretable models that preserve high predictive accuracy while improving the transparency, understanding, and trustworthiness of model outputs.

A previous publication by our research group demonstrated, using machine learning models, a strong association between mental health factors-particularly anxiety and depression-and fibromyalgia severity, with a greater influence than pain intensity itself. Other prevalent symptoms of fibromyalgia, such as fatigue and sleep quality disturbances, are also considered by patients to be major contributors to reduced quality of life, often perceived as more impactful than pain.

Accordingly, the present study aims to develop predictive models of fibromyalgia severity using machine learning and explainable artificial intelligence techniques, incorporating fatigue and sleep quality as novel variables in the analysis.

Understanding the individual and combined relevance of these psychosocial components in determining patients' clinical status may contribute to improved disease management and more personalized treatment strategies, ultimately enhancing the quality of care.

Study Type

Observational

Enrollment (Estimated)

150

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Contact

Study Contact Backup

Study Locations

    • Seville
      • Seville, Seville, Spain, 41008
        • Rafael Velasco Velasco
        • Contact:

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

The study population will consist of adult volunteers diagnosed with fibromyalgia who meet the eligibility criteria and provide written informed consent to participate in the study. Participants will be recruited from a primary care center within the Spanish public healthcare system.

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Age between 18 and 65 years.
  • Fullfilled the 2010 American Collegue of Rheumathology criteria for fibromyalgia.
  • Understanding of spoken and written Spanish.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Diagnosed psychiatric pathology.
  • Rheumatic pathology not medically controlled.
  • Neurological pathologies that make evaluations difficult.

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Disease severity
Time Frame: Baseline
For this purpose, the Spanish validated version of the Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire (FIQ) will be used. The questionnaire comprises several components assessing physical, psychological, and social status, as well as overall well-being. It consists of 10 items scored on 0-10 scales, yielding a total score ranging from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating greater disease impact and poorer quality of life.
Baseline

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Sleep quality
Time Frame: Baseline
Sleep quality will be assessed using the Spanish validated version of the Medical Outcomes Study Sleep Scale (MOS-SS). This instrument consists of 12 items evaluating six sleep domains: sleep disturbance (ability to initiate and maintain sleep), sleep adequacy (sufficiency of sleep to feel rested), sleep quantity (number of hours of sleep), somnolence (daytime sleepiness), snoring, and shortness of breath or headache. A sleep problems index can be derived on a 0-100 scale, with higher scores indicating greater sleep-related problems.
Baseline
Fatigue
Time Frame: Baseline
Fatigue severity will be assessed using the Spanish adaptation of the Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory (MFI). This is a self-administered questionnaire consisting of 20 items. It comprises five subscales that analytically assess general fatigue, physical fatigue, reduced activity, reduced motivation, and mental fatigue. The total score ranges from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating greater fatigue severity.
Baseline
Pain intensity
Time Frame: Baseline
It will be measured with a visual analog scale (VAS) of 100 millimeters in length. The subject has to indicate the level of pain he feels, being 0 the absence of pain and 100 the maximum imaginable.
Baseline
Pain catastrophizing
Time Frame: Baseline
The Spanish validated version of the Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS) will be administered. The PCS consists of 13 items assessing catastrophic cognitive-emotional processes related to pain and encompasses the three main dimensions of catastrophizing: rumination (persistent concern and inability to inhibit pain-related thoughts), magnification (exaggeration of the unpleasantness of pain and expectations of negative consequences), and helplessness (perceived inability to cope with painful situations). Items are rated on a 5-point Likert scale ranging from 0 (never) to 4 (always). The total score is calculated by summing the responses to all 13 items, with higher scores indicating greater levels of pain catastrophizing.
Baseline
Depression
Time Frame: Baseline
Depressive symptoms will be assessed using the Spanish adaptation of the Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II). This instrument consists of 21 items designed to measure affective and cognitive status, as well as the signs and symptoms of depression experienced over the preceding two weeks. Total scores range from 0 to 63, where higher scores indicate greater severity.
Baseline
Anxiety
Time Frame: Baseline
Anxiety will be assessed using the Spanish validated version of the State Anxiety Scale (STAI-S) of the State-Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI). It consists of 20 items scored on a Likert-type scale from 0 to 3. The score ranges from 0 to 60 points, with higher scores indicating worse anxiety levels.
Baseline

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Collaborators

Investigators

  • Principal Investigator: Rafael Velasco Velasco, Mr., University of Castilla-La Mancha

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Estimated)

February 24, 2026

Primary Completion (Estimated)

November 30, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

November 30, 2026

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

February 13, 2026

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

February 13, 2026

First Posted (Actual)

February 20, 2026

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

March 5, 2026

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

March 3, 2026

Last Verified

March 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

Other Study ID Numbers

  • FibroIA

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

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