AI for Lung Cancer Risk Definition in Computed Tomography Screening Programs

March 26, 2026 updated by: Ugo Pastorino, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milano

Artificial Intelligence Tools Integrating Blood Biomarkers and Radiomics to Define Lung Cancer Risk in Computed Tomography Screening Programs

Low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) lung cancer (LC) screening can reduce mortality among heavy smokers, but there is a critical need to better identify people at higher risk and to reduce harms related to management of benign nodules. The most promising strategy is to combine novel tools to optimize clinical decisions and increase the benefit of screening.

In this respect, the investigators already demonstrated that the combination of baseline LDCT features with a minimal invasive microRNA blood test was able to more precisely estimate the individual risk of developing LC. The investigators posit that additional immune-related and radiologic features can be integrated with the help of artificial intelligence (AI) to further implement LDCT screening strategies. The project will answer whether the combination of (bio)markers of different origin can predict LC development at baseline and over time, indicate which screen-detected lung nodules are likely to be malignant and ultimately reduce LC and all cause mortality.

Study Overview

Status

Active, not recruiting

Detailed Description

Lung cancer constitutes 28% of all cancer deaths in Europe, with 70% of patients diagnosed at advanced stages and a mere 21% 5-year survival rate. Despite smoking's causative link to almost 90% of cases, global smoking rates persist, posing a long-term public health challenge. Our focus lies in refining lung cancer risk assessment using blood-based biomarkers, particularly circulating microRNAs (miRNAs) and C-reactive protein. Biennial LDCT screenings and blood tests predicting lung cancer risk have shown effectiveness, as seen in our pioneering work within the BioMILD trial since 2013.

The BioMILD trial, encompassing 4119 volunteers, combines LDCT and microRNA biomarkers, demonstrating feasibility and safety over 4 years. Our current endeavor aims to develop a predictive model for LDCT-detected high-risk lung nodules, incorporating blood, functional, and radiomics biomarkers. Leveraging the BioMILD trial's biorepository, imaging database, and 20 patient-derived xenografts (PDXs), the investigators utilize advanced artificial intelligence (AI) tools for comprehensive analysis. This approach, involving 400 subjects with solid and sub-solid LDCT lung nodules, including 100 baseline-identified cancer patients, is crucial.

By combining blood-based biomarkers, radiologic parameters, clinical features, and AI tools, the investigators aim to create a robust model. This model will be validated using an independent set of 100 subjects (25 with and 75 without lung cancer) from the ongoing SMILE screening trial. If successful, our vision is to prospectively implement this panel in clinical contexts where it proves beneficial. Our mission is to reduce lung cancer mortality, optimizing screening interventions with novel, non-invasive tools for all high-risk individuals while minimizing costs and radiation exposure-related harms.

Aim 1 Assessment of an Immune Signature Classifier (ISC) on peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) samples collected from screen detected solid and sub-solid LDCT lung nodules and integration of ISC with existing biomarkers such as the MSC test and the c-Reactive Protein (cRP).

Aim 2 Evaluation of radiologic features and other LDCT markers related to respiratory and cardiovascular disorders.

Aim 3 Development of a risk classifier using AI tools based on combination of blood biomarkers, imaging and clinical data to improve LDCT screening sensitivity and positive predictive value.

Study Type

Observational

Enrollment (Actual)

650

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Locations

      • Milan, Italy, 20133
        • Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

Yes

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

LDCT screening volunteers enrolled in the BioMILD trial (clinicaltrial.gov NCT02247453) with solid and sub-solid baseline LDCT lung nodules, including baseline-identified cancer patients, in the SMILE trial (clinicaltrial.gov NCT03654105) and in the RISP trial (clinicaltrial.gov NCT05766046).

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • current heavy smokers of ≥ 30 pack/years or former smokers with the same smoking habits having stopped from 10 years or less;
  • current heavy smokers of ≥ 20 pack/years or former smokers with the same smoking habits having stopped from 10 years or less with additional risk factors such as family history of lung cancer, prior diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or pneumonia;
  • Suspected solid and sub-solid LDCT lung nodules.

Exclusion Criteria:

-

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort
Intervention / Treatment
Intervention cohort
LDCT screening volunteers enrolled in the BioMILD trial (clinicaltrial.gov NCT02247453) with solid and sub-solid baseline LDCT lung nodules, including baseline-identified cancer patients.
Combining blood-based biomarkers, radiologic parameters, clinical features, and AI tools to create a robust model to predict lung cancer risk.
Validation cohort
LDCT screening volunteers enrolled in the SMILE trial (clinicaltrial.gov NCT03654105) and in the RISP trial (clinicaltrial.gov NCT05766046).
Combining blood-based biomarkers, radiologic parameters, clinical features, and AI tools to create a robust model to predict lung cancer risk.

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Aim 1
Time Frame: 36 months
Development of a risk classifier using AI tools based on combination of blood biomarkers, imaging and clinical data to improve LDCT screening sensitivity and positive predictive value.
36 months

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Aim 2
Time Frame: 30 months
Evaluation of radiologic features and other LDCT markers related to respiratory and cardiovascular disorders.
30 months
Aim 3
Time Frame: 30 months
Assessment of an Immune Signature Classifier (ISC) on peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) samples collected from screen detected solid and sub-solid LDCT lung nodules and integration of ISC with existing biomarkers such as the MSC test and the c-Reactive Protein (cRP).
30 months

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Investigators

  • Principal Investigator: Ugo Pastorino, MD, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei tumori di Milano

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

April 30, 2023

Primary Completion (Actual)

October 30, 2024

Study Completion (Estimated)

April 30, 2026

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

March 13, 2024

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

March 13, 2024

First Posted (Actual)

March 20, 2024

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

March 27, 2026

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

March 26, 2026

Last Verified

March 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

NO

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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