Use of a Physiotherapy Assessment to Predict Extubation Failure in Mechanically Ventilated Patients: the EPIC Assessment (PREDEXTUB)

March 26, 2026 updated by: Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Paris

"Weaning from mechanical ventilation is a crucial step in the intensive care unit. Several factors complicate weaning and increase the risk of failure. To predict the success of extubation, the spontaneous ventilation test (T-Tube) remains essential. Despite this, the failure rate is around 10-20%.

Failed extubation is not without consequences, since it increases the risk of pneumopathy and mortality. It therefore seems essential to identify potential extubation failures using effective predictive criteria. Several of these predictive criteria have been studied separately in the literature, but are still not widely used in practice. Many studies have sought to identify these predictive criteria, without actually linking them. However, when combined in a single assessment prior to extubation, they could represent a reliable prediction and decision-making aid.

In the intensive care unit at Hôpital Bichat Claude Bernard, a team of physiotherapists dedicated solely to this unit carries out a routine EPIC Assessment, combining several criteria, some of which have individually demonstrated their reliability in predicting extubation outcome. Physiotherapists are health professionals working as part of the intensive care team, and are well versed in issues relating to bronchial congestion, respiratory function and muscle strength, whether for breathing or locomotion. Similarly, their involvement in issues relating to swallowing disorders acquired in intensive care gives them an overall view of the patient's ability to protect his or her airway post-extubation. The EPIC Assessment has been designed by them to address these issues. With the help of this assessment, and by following the cut-offs of the various criteria, they link the different criteria making up the EPIC Assessment and communicate a ""favorable"" or ""unfavorable"" opinion for extubation.

Our hypothesis is that the EPIC Assessment is, in addition to its interpretation by physiotherapists, a reliable tool for predicting the outcome of extubation."

Study Overview

Detailed Description

Adult patients admitted to the ICU and placed on invasive mechanical ventilation for more than 48 hours will be screened by the investigators (physiotherapists in conjunction with a doctor).

The spontaneous ventilation test will be carried out in the T-Tube, on the basis of a medical decision and within the framework of care, if the patients meet the weaning conditions:

  • No sedation
  • No inotropes or vasopressors
  • Consistent response to simple commands
  • FiO2 < 50%
  • PEEP < 5 cmH2O

The criteria for a successful T-Tube test are:

  • FR < 35 cycles/min
  • SpO2 > 90%,
  • Variation of less than 20% in FR or systolic blood pressure,
  • No sweating, agitation or vigilance disorders.

Inclusion of patients by investigators after a successful spontaneous ventilation test.

Data will be collected describing the characteristics of patients on the day of their T-Tube test, and will also list the various risk factors for extubation failure already known in the literature, in order to avoid confounding bias

EPIC Assessment by physiotherapists: Within 30 minutes of a successful spontaneous ventilation test, the physiotherapists are called in by the nursing team to carry out the EPIC Assessment. This assessment takes the form of a table containing the following criteria:

  • Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS): X < 11 ≤ O
  • Rapid Shallow Breathing Index (RSBI): X ≤ 75 < O
  • Maximum Inspiratory Pressure (MIP): X < l-25l < O
  • Peak Expiratory Flow (PEF): X < l-60l < O
  • Bronchial congestion: X = "++" and "+++"; O = "+" and "Ø"
  • Salivary stasis: X = "++" and "+++"; O = "+" and "Ø".
  • Orofacial motricity: X = Incomplete and O = Complete
  • Cervical spine flexion: X = Impossible and O = Possible
  • Nausea reflex: X = Absent and O = Present on at least one side.
  • Medical Research Council (MRC): X < 36 and O > 36.

The patient is placed in a semi-sitting position, having been lifted into bed beforehand.

The physiotherapist first takes information about the starting conditions, then decreases the Inspiratory Pressure (IP) to 7 and the Positive Expiratory Pressure (PEP) to 0.

Each criterion is then assessed by the physiotherapist with the patient's participation. The cut-offs described in the literature are taken into account to validate each criterion: an "X" sign predicts extubation failure, an "O" sign predicts extubation success.

Inter-rater reproducibility study: the EPIC grids will be reviewed at the end of the research by a physiotherapist who has not carried out this EPIC, who will be responsible for giving a "favorable" or "unfavorable" opinion based on the results of the EPIC assessment (opinion not taken into account for the extubation decision - for reproducibility analysis only).

Binary global assessment: "favorable" or "unfavorable" opinion, issued collectively by the entire team in charge of the patient (physiotherapist, senior doctor, junior doctor (intern), state-registered nurse, nursing auxiliary).

Extubation decision: taken by the doctor after the spontaneous ventilation test and communication by the physiotherapists of their favorable or unfavorable opinion. Participation in the research will not affect patient management. A patient who has not been extubated will be reassessed according to the care plan in the following days (new spontaneous ventilation test, new EPIC assessment).

Study Type

Observational

Enrollment (Estimated)

330

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Contact

Study Contact Backup

Study Locations

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

Adult patients admitted to intensive care and placed on invasive mechanical ventilation for more than 48 hours

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Patient 18 years of age or older
  • Admitted to intensive care and placed on invasive mechanical ventilation for more than 48 hours
  • Having passed a T-Tube spontaneous ventilation test < 24h

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Tracheostomized patient
  • Severe psychiatric pathology or cognitive disorders
  • Uncooperative patient
  • Patient under therapeutic restriction (terminal extubation)
  • Patient who has already participated in research
  • Patient or close relative (if patient not able) opposed to research
  • No relative if patient unable to receive information

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort
Adult patients with mechanical ventilation
Adult patients admitted to intensive care with mechanical ventilation for more than 48 hours

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Time Frame
extubation failure rate
Time Frame: day 7 after extubation
day 7 after extubation

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
extubation failure rate
Time Frame: 48h after extubation
48h after extubation
extubation failure rate
Time Frame: 72h after extubation
72h after extubation
Length of stay in post-extubation intensive care unit
Time Frame: 1 month
1 month
Total length of hospital stay post-extubation
Time Frame: 1 month
1 month
in-hospital death rate
Time Frame: 1 month
1 month
Binary global assessment: "favorable" or "unfavorable" opinion on extubation, given collectively by the caregivers in charge of the patient (physiotherapist, senior physician, junior physician (intern), state-registered nurse, nursing auxiliary).
Time Frame: at extubation
at extubation
"Favourable" or "unfavourable" rating by two assessors (physiotherapists) blind to the other assessor's rating
Time Frame: at extubation
at extubation
Medical decision to extubate (or not) the patient following a positive (or negative) opinion from the physiotherapist
Time Frame: at extubation
at extubation
Glasgow Coma Scale
Time Frame: The intubated patient's GCS does not take into account the verbal component, as the patient is unable to speak.
before extubation
The intubated patient's GCS does not take into account the verbal component, as the patient is unable to speak.
Rapid Shallow Breathing Index
Time Frame: before extubation

"RSBI is performed within the first few minutes of the assessment by the physiotherapists.

On the ventilator, the mean tidal volumes in one minute are taken, and the respiratory rate is also measured."

before extubation
Measurement of Maximum Inspiratory Pressure
Time Frame: before extubation
MIP is obtained on the ventilator, using the dedicated function. The physiotherapist applies a 7-second expiratory pause at the end of exhalation and asks the patient to inhale. This maneuver is performed 3 times, and the best of the three values is taken into account.
before extubation
Measurement of Peak Expiratory Flow
Time Frame: before extubation
before extubation
Measurement of Bronchial congestion
Time Frame: before extubation
The patient's state of congestion is rated by the physiotherapist, taking into account the patient's state of congestion over the 24 hours (assessed by the nurses and orderlies during rounds and noted on the sign) and according to the aspirations performed.
before extubation
Measurement of Salivary stasis
Time Frame: before extubation
The patient's salivary stasis status is rated by the physiotherapist, taking into account the patient's salivary stasis over the 24 hours (assessed by the nurses and orderlies during rounds and noted on the sign) and according to the aspirations performed.
before extubation
Measurement of Orofacial motor control
Time Frame: before extubation
The patient is asked to: open the mouth; stick out the tongue and move it to the right and left; smile.
before extubation
Measurement of Cervical spine flexion
Time Frame: before extubation
The patient is asked to lift his or her head from the pillow and to hold it there.
before extubation
Measurement of Nausea reflex
Time Frame: before extubation
The physiotherapist inserts a 10ml syringe between the patient's teeth, and stimulates the right and left pillars of the pharynx with a finger. A contraction of the pharynx accompanied by a sensation of discomfort on the part of the patient validates the presence of the nausea reflex
before extubation
Medical Research Council
Time Frame: before extubation
before extubation
Laryngeal lift
Time Frame: before extubation
before extubation

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Investigators

  • Principal Investigator: Antoine SHENOUDA, Assistance Publique Hopitaux de Paris

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

April 15, 2024

Primary Completion (Estimated)

April 1, 2027

Study Completion (Estimated)

October 1, 2027

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

June 5, 2024

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

June 5, 2024

First Posted (Actual)

June 10, 2024

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

March 27, 2026

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

March 26, 2026

Last Verified

March 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

Other Study ID Numbers

  • APHP231743
  • 2023-A01734-41 (Other Identifier: ID-RCB)

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

UNDECIDED

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

Clinical Trials on Mechanical Ventilation

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