Semaglutide for the Treatment of Glucose Intolerance in Women With Prior Gestational Diabetes (SERENA)

July 2, 2026 updated by: Universitaire Ziekenhuizen KU Leuven

Semaglutide for the Treatment of Glucose Intolerance in Women With Prior Gestational Diabetes: a Double Blind RCT

Gestational diabetes (GDM) is an important contributor to the increasing prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Women with glucose intolerance in early postpartum are a particularly high-risk group with about 50% who will develop T2DM within 5 years after the delivery. Moreover, women with a history of GDM progress more rapidly to T2DM compared to women with similarly elevated glucose levels. Early intervention after the index pregnancy is therefore crucial to prevent T2DM. With the SERENA project, the investigators aim to reduce the risk to develop T2DM with the long-acting GLP-1 agonist semaglutide in women with a recent history of GDM and glucose intolerance in early postpartum.

Study Overview

Detailed Description

Patient population: Women with a recent history of gestational diabetes (GDM) and persistent glucose intolerance in early postpartum are a particularly high risk group, with about 50% developing type 2 diabetes (T2DM) within 5 years after the delivery. Semaglutide is a long-acting glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) agonist with multiple beneficial metabolic effects, including glucose lowering effect, weight loss and cardiovascular protective effects. The investigators hypothesize that in women with prior GDM and glucose intolerance in early postpartum, treatment with semaglutide will reduce the risk to develop T2DM on the long-term compared to placebo.

Intervention and comparison: Belgian multi-centric double blind RCT with 13 centers to compare semaglutide (once weekly) with placebo in women with a recent history of GDM and glucose intolerance [impaired fasting glycaemia (IFG) and/or impaired glucose tolerance (IGT)] 6weeks - 12 months postpartum. Participants will be 1/1 randomized to semaglutide or placebo on a background of lifestyle measures. Semaglutide will be uptitrated to 1mg/week over a 8-week period. Participants will be followed-up for 3 years. Participants will receive a 75g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) 3-6 months after the stop of the intervention. Randomization will be stratified according to BMI at the early postpartum visit (<25; 25-29.9 and ≥30Kg/m²).

Outcomes: The primary endpoint is the development of T2DM by 160 weeks defined by fasting plasma glucose, OGTT and/or HbA1c according to the ADA criteria. Important secondary endpoints are assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication) and include:

Glycaemic outcomes

  • Need for glucose-lowering (rescue) therapy;
  • Frequency of prediabetes based on FPG, OGTT, and/or HbA1c;
  • Regression to normoglycaemia. Anthropometric and body composition outcomes
  • Change in body weight, BMI, waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio;
  • Proportion of participants achieving ≥5%, ≥10%, and ≥15% weight loss;
  • Body fat percentage assessed by bioelectrical impedance analysis (Bodystat 1500®).

Insulin sensitivity and β-cell function

  • β-cell function, assessed by HOMA-B, insulinogenic index divided by HOMA-IR, insulin secretion-sensitivity index-2, and the Stumvoll index;
  • Insulin sensitivity, assessed by the Matsuda index (reflecting whole body insulin sensitivity) and 1/HOMA-IR, reflecting primarily hepatic insulin sensitivity.

Cardiometabolic risk factors

  • Prevalence of the metabolic syndrome;
  • Blood pressure (blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg) and heart rate;
  • Lipid profile, including low density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-cholesterol, ≥100 mg/dL or ≥2,6 mmol/L) and triglycerides (≥150 mg/dL or ≥1,7 mmol/L).

Patient-reported outcomes

  • Health-related quality of life assessed by SF-36 and EQ-5D-5L;
  • Symptoms of depression (CES-D) and anxiety (short-form STAI);
  • Treatment satisfaction assessed using a study-specific questionnaire based on the Diabetes Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire;
  • Sleep quality (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index) and food security (short-form HFSSM).

Biomarker outcomes

• Changes in and associations of metabolomic profiles, with cardiometabolic risk and treatment response.

Health economic outcomes

  • Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs);
  • Incremental costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of semaglutide compared with placebo.
  • Health economic analyses are considered exploratory and hypothesis-generating, as the study was primarily powered for the clinical endpoint of incident T2DM rather than economic outcomes.

To achieve 80% power, we plan a sample size of 252 to detect an estimated 50% reduction in the risk to develop T2DM between both groups, assuming a 30% loss to follow-up during the study.

Study Type

Interventional

Enrollment (Estimated)

252

Phase

  • Phase 3

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Contact

Study Locations

      • Aalst, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • AZORG
        • Contact:
          • Katrien Wierckx
      • Antwerp, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • UZA
        • Contact:
          • Niels Bochanen
      • Antwerp, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • ZAS
        • Contact:
          • Ann Verhaegen
      • Bruges, Belgium
      • Brussels, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • UZ Brussel
        • Contact:
          • Nancy Van Wilder
      • Brussels, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • Erasme
        • Contact:
          • Maria Lytrivi
      • Ieper, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • Jan Yperman
        • Contact:
      • Kortrijk, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • AZ Groeninge Kortrijk
        • Contact:
          • Gertjan Vereecke
      • Leuven, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • UZ Leuven
        • Contact:
          • Katrien Benhalima
      • Liège, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • CHU de Liège
        • Contact:
          • JC Philips
      • Mouscron, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • Centre Hospitalier Mouscron
        • Contact:
          • Philippe Oriot
      • Sint-Niklaas, Belgium
        • Recruiting
        • Vitaz
        • Contact:
          • Peter Coremans
      • Turnhout, Belgium

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

18 years and older (Adult, Older Adult)

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Description

Eligible participants are women aged ≥18 years, with a history of GDM diagnosed according to the 2013 WHO criteria (at 24-32 weeks gestation or <24 weeks for early GDM). Participants must have prediabetes diagnosed between 6 weeks and 12 months postpartum according to ADA criteria (FPG 5.6-6.9 mmol/L, 2-hour OGTT glucose 7.8-11.0 mmol/L and/or HbA1c 39-46 mmol/mol [5.7-6.4%]).

Additional inclusion criteria include cessation of breastfeeding, no intention to become pregnant within the next year, use of effective contraception and no use of medication affecting glucose metabolism. Written ICF is obtained prior to any study-related procedures.

Exclusion criteria include established diabetes, presence of autoantibodies suggestive of type 1 diabetes, normal glucose tolerance, history of pancreatitis, previous bariatric surgery or planned surgery within two years, unable to understand and speak Dutch, French or English and current pregnant or planning to become pregnant within one year after participating in the study.

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

  • Primary Purpose: Prevention
  • Allocation: Randomized
  • Interventional Model: Parallel Assignment
  • Masking: Triple

Arms and Interventions

Participant Group / Arm
Intervention / Treatment
Active Comparator: semaglutide
semaglutide SC once weekly, up titration over 2 month period to 1mg/week (0.25mg once weekly, after 4 weeks 0.5mg once weekly and after 8 weeks the maintenance dose of 1mg once weekly), treatment duration of max. 3 years
maintenance dose of 1mg SC once weekly
Other Names:
  • Ozempic
Placebo Comparator: placebo
placebo SC once weekly, the same dose-escalation regimen, using matching injections, treatment duration of max. 3 years
maintenance dose of 1mg SC once weekly

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Development of T2DM
Time Frame: by 160 weeks
Defined by FPG, OGTT, and/or HbA1c according to the ADA criteria
by 160 weeks

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Need for glucose-lowering (rescue) therapy
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage need for rescue therapy for diabetes
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Frequency of prediabetes based on FPG, OGTT, and/or HbA1c
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage of prediabetes based on FPG, OGTT, and/or HbA1c
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Regression to normoglycaemia
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage regression to normoglycaemia, based on fasting glycaemia, oral glucose tolerance test and/or HbA1c (ADA criteria)
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Change in body weight
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Change in body weight (kg)
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
BMI
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Mean BMI (Kg/m2)
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Waist circumference
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Mean waist circumference (cm)
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Waist-to-hip ratio
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Waist/hip circumference ratio
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Proportion of participants achieving ≥5% weight loss
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage weight loss ≥5%
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Proportion of participants achieving ≥10% weight loss
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage weight loss ≥10%
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Proportion of participants achieving ≥15% weight loss
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage weight loss ≥15%
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Body fat percentage assessed by bioelectrical impedance analysis (Bodystat 1500®)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage body fat measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
β-cell function, assessed by HOMA-B
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Beta-cell function measured by the HOMA-B index
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Insulinogenic index divided by HOMA-IR
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Beta-cell function measured by the by the insulinogenic index divided by HOMA-insulin resistance index
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Insulin secretion-sensitivity index-2
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Beta-cell function measured by theby the insulin-secretion sensitivity-2 index
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Stumvoll index
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Beta-cell function measured by the Stumvoll index
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Insulin sensitivity, assessed by the Matsuda index (reflecting whole body insulin sensitivity)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Whole body Insulin sensitivity measured by the insulin sensitivity index of Matsuda
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
1/HOMA-IR, reflecting primarily hepatic insulin sensitivity
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
The reciprocal of the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (1/HOMA-IR)
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Prevalence of the metabolic syndrome
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage of the metabolic syndrome based on the WHO criteria
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Blood pressure (blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage blood pressure ≥140/90mmHg
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Heart rate
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Mean heart rate
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Lipid profile, including low density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-cholesterol, ≥100 mg/dL or ≥2,6 mmol/L)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage LDL cholesterol ≥100mg/dl or ≥2,6 mmol/L
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Lipid profile, including triglycerides (≥150 mg/dL or ≥1,7 mmol/L)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Percentage triglycerides ≥150mg/dl or ≥1,7 mmol/L
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Health-related quality of life assessed by SF-36
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Health-related quality of life assessed using the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36). Scores range from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating better health-related quality of life
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Health-related quality of life assessed by EQ-5D-5L
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Health-related quality of life assessed using the EuroQol 5-Dimension 5-Level (EQ-5D-5L) Visual Analogue Scale (EQ VAS). Scores range from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating better perceived health status
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Symptoms of depression (CES-D)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Depressive symptoms assessed using the 20-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). Total scores range from 0 to 60, with higher scores indicating more depressive symptoms
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Symptoms of anxiety (short-form STAI)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Symptoms of anxiety assessed using the 6-item short-form State-Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI). Total scores range from 20 to 80 after score transformation, with higher scores indicating greater anxiety symptoms
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Treatment satisfaction assessed using a study-specific questionnaire based on the Diabetes Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Diabetes risk perception assessed using the Diabetes Risk Perception Questionnaire, a validated questionnaire that evaluates perceived risk of developing diabetes
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Sleep quality (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Sleep quality assessed using the validated Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI)
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Food security (short-form HFSSM)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Food security assessed using the short-form Household Food Security Survey Module (HFSSM). Scores indicate the level of food security, with higher scores reflecting greater food insecurity
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Plasma metabolite concentrations
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Changes in and associations of metabolomic profiles, with cardiometabolic risk and treatment response. Assessed using metabolomic profiling. Blood samples will be collected at baseline and every 6 months during a 3.5-year follow-up period (study visits).
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs)
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), calculated as the area under the curve of health-related quality of life utility values over time, where higher values indicate better health outcomes
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Incremental costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of semaglutide compared with placebo
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Incremental costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of semaglutide versus placebo
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Incremental healthcare costs
Time Frame: Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)
Incremental healthcare costs associated with the intervention compared with control, calculated from collected healthcare resource utilization and unit cost data. Currency (e.g., EUR per participant)
Assessed at 160 weeks (end of treatment) and at 172-184 weeks (3-6 months after discontinuation of study medication)

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

September 14, 2023

Primary Completion (Estimated)

June 1, 2029

Study Completion (Estimated)

December 1, 2029

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

September 28, 2022

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

October 3, 2022

First Posted (Actual)

October 6, 2022

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

July 7, 2026

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

July 2, 2026

Last Verified

April 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

YES

IPD Plan Description

Individual participant data will be made available upon reasonable request after study completion, database lock, unblinding, and publication of the primary results, subject to applicable ethical, legal, and data protection requirements.

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

product manufactured in and exported from the U.S.

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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