A Pan-European Post-Authorisation Safety Study: Risk of Pancreatic Cancer Among Type 2 Diabetes Patients Who Initiated Exenatide as Compared With Those Who Initiated Other Non-Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonists Based Glucose Lowering Drugs (EXCEED)

May 29, 2026 updated by: AstraZeneca

EXCEED - A Pan-European Post-Authorisation Safety Study: Risk of Pancreatic Cancer Among Type 2 Diabetes Patients Who Initiated Exenatide as Compared With Those Who Initiated Other Non-Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonists Based Glucose Lowering Drugs

EXCEED is a non-interventional post-authorisation safety study aiming to assess the risk of developing pancreatic cancer among type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients who initiated exenatide compared to those who initiated other non-glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) based glucose lowering drugs (GLDs). Study data will be collected from secondary data sources across 7 European countries. The study will be conducted as a multi-country, long-term, retrospective, observational database study. Initiators of exenatide will be matched to initiators of non-GLP-1 RA based GLDs (comparator group) based on propensity score and calendar period of study entry. All analyses for pancreatic cancer will be conducted in the matched study population using an "intention-to-treat" approach. The study will use information from 8 data sources in 7 European countries (France, Spain, The United Kingdom, Finland, Denmark, Norway, and Sweden). Patients with T2DM, aged 18 years or older, who initiated treatment with exenatide or non-GLP-1 RA based GLDs during the study period, 2006 to 2023, will be included. Exposure to exenatide and non-GLP-1 RA based GLDs will be ascertained from recordings of prescriptions or insurance claims registrations as available in the different data sources. The outcome of pancreatic cancer will be defined as a primary diagnosis of pancreatic cancer during follow-up.

Study Overview

Study Type

Observational

Enrollment (Estimated)

24000

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Contact

Study Locations

      • Copenhagen, Denmark
        • Recruiting
        • Research Site
      • Helsinki, Finland
        • Recruiting
        • Research Site
      • Paris, France
        • Recruiting
        • Research Site
      • Bergen, Norway
        • Recruiting
        • Research Site
      • Barcelona, Spain
        • Recruiting
        • Research Site
      • Vänersborg, Sweden
        • Recruiting
        • Research Site
      • Edinburgh, United Kingdom
        • Recruiting
        • Research Site
      • London, United Kingdom
        • Recruiting
        • Research Site

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

18 years and older (Adult, Older Adult)

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sampling Method

Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

Patients with T2DM, aged 18 years or older, who initiated treatment with exenatide or non-GLP-1 RA based GLDs during the study period, 2006 to 2023, will be included. Exposure to exenatide and non-GLP-1 RA based GLDs will be ascertained from recordings of prescriptions or insurance claims registrations as available in the different data sources.

Description

For inclusion in either exposure group, all of the following inclusion criteria must be fulfilled:

  1. Aged 18 years or older at the index date
  2. Individual level data on prescriptions, diagnoses and medical history is available for a minimum of 12 months prior to the index date
  3. A diagnosis of T2DM on index date or prior to index date

For inclusion in the overall exenatide exposure group, the following criterion must be fulfilled:

  1. One incident prescription (or incident dispensed prescription) for exenatide (BYETTA or BYDUREON/ BYDUREON BCise) between the start and 12 months before the end of the study period. This incident prescription must have succeeded a prescription of a GLD of another drug class during the baseline period.

    For inclusion in the BYDUREON/ BYDUREON BCise exposure group, for the analyses of the secondary objective, the criterion a) is substituted with criterion b):

  2. One incident prescription (or incident dispensed prescription) for BYDUREON/ BYDUREON BCise between the start and 12 months before the end of the study period. This incident prescription must have succeeded a prescription of a GLD of another drug class during the baseline period.

    For inclusion in the comparator group, the following criterion must be fulfilled:

  3. One incident prescription (or incident dispensed prescription) of a GLD between the start and 12 months before the end of the study period. The GLD must not be a DPP-4i, a GLP-1 RA, or a combination with either a DPP-4i or a GLP-1 RA. This incident prescription must have succeeded a prescription of a GLD of another drug class during the baseline period.

Patients are not eligible for any of the study population groups if they fulfil any of the following exclusion criteria:

  1. A diagnosis of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) on index date or a diagnosis of T1DM during the baseline period that is not succeeded by a T2DM diagnosis during the remaining part of the baseline period.
  2. A diagnosis of gestational diabetes during the baseline period or on index date.
  3. A diagnosis of polycystic ovarian syndrome during the baseline period or on index date in combination with exposure to metformin (Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical Classification System (ATC) code of the World Health Organization (WHO): A10BA02) as the only GLD on index date or during the baseline period.
  4. History of any cancer on or prior to index date. The only exception is that nonmelanoma skin cancer does not lead to exclusion.
  5. History of any acute pancreatitis, other diseases of the pancreas, or disorders of the pancreas on or prior to index date.
  6. One or more prescriptions (or dispensed prescriptions) of a GLP-1 RA (incretin mimetics) other than exenatide on or prior to index date.
  7. One or more prescriptions (or dispensed prescriptions) of DPP-4i (incretin mimetics) on or prior to the index date.

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

  • Observational Models: Cohort
  • Time Perspectives: Retrospective

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort
Intervention / Treatment
Initiators of exenatide
Patients with T2DM, aged 18 years or older, who initiated treatment with exenatide during the study period, 2006 to 2023
All patients initiating exenatide during the study period will be identified by ATC codes and be included in the exenatide group in a hierarchical manner, regardless of previous use of non-GLP-1 RA based glucose lowering drugs.
Other Names:
  • BYETTA, BYDUREON/BYDUREON BCise
Initiators of non-GLP-1 RA based glucose lowering drugs
Patients with T2DM, aged 18 years or older, who initiated treatment with non-GLP-1 RA based glucose lowering drugs during the study period, 2006 to 2023
Initiators of non-GLP-1 RA based GLDs with no use of exenatide before or during the study period.
Other Names:
  • Insulin/analogues (excl. A10AE54, A10A56), Biguanide, Sulfonylurea, Sulfonamide (heterocycl.), combined oral GLD (excl. DPP-4i), Alpha glucose inhib., Thiazolidinedione, SGLT2i, Oth. GLD excl. insulin

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Incidence rate of primary diagnosis of pancreatic cancer among exenatide exposed population
Time Frame: Follow-up starts from the index date to the study completion, an average of 1.5 years or less
To estimate the incidence rate (IR) for pancreatic cancer associated with exposure to exenatide, compared with exposure to non-GLP-1 RA based GLDs, among patients with T2DM.
Follow-up starts from the index date to the study completion, an average of 1.5 years or less
Hazard ratio of primary diagnosis of pancreatic cancer among exenatide exposed population
Time Frame: Follow-up starts from thr index date to the study completion, an average of 1.5 years or less
To estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for pancreatic cancer associated with exposure to exenatide, compared with exposure to non-GLP-1 RA based GLDs, among patients with T2DM
Follow-up starts from thr index date to the study completion, an average of 1.5 years or less

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Collaborators

Investigators

  • Principal Investigator: Fabian Hoti, PhD, IQVIA Pty Ltd

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

September 30, 2024

Primary Completion (Estimated)

October 1, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

October 1, 2026

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

October 11, 2022

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

December 21, 2022

First Posted (Actual)

December 23, 2022

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

June 2, 2026

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

May 29, 2026

Last Verified

May 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

YES

IPD Plan Description

Qualified researchers can request access to anonymized individual patient-level data from AstraZeneca group of companies sponsored clinical trials via the request portal.

All request will be evaluated as per the AZ disclosure commitment:

https://astrazenecagrouptrials.pharmacm.com/ST/Submission/Disclosure. Yes, indicates that AZ are accepting requests for IPD, but this does not mean all requests will be shared.

IPD Sharing Time Frame

AstraZeneca will meet or exceed data availability as per the commitments made to the EFPIA Pharma Data Sharing Principles. For details of our timelines, please rerefer to our disclosure commitment at https://astrazenecagrouptrials.pharmacm.com/ST/Submission/Disclosure.

IPD Sharing Access Criteria

When a request has been approved AstraZeneca will provide access to the anonymized individual patient-level data via secure research environment Vivli.org. Signed Data Usage Agreement (non-negotiable contract for data accessors) must be in place before accessing requested information.

IPD Sharing Supporting Information Type

  • STUDY_PROTOCOL
  • SAP

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

Yes

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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