Development of a Treatment Prognosis Calculator for the Prevention of Suicide

February 23, 2026 updated by: Jay Fournier, Ohio State University

The goal of this interventional study is to develop and test a treatment prognosis calculator to identify which service members with suicidal ideation or behavior are likely to respond well to the current standard of care treatment and which should instead receive Brief Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (BCBT) as a first-line treatment.

The main aims of the study are:

  • Aim 1: To develop a novel treatment prognostic calculator to predict response to treatment as usual (TAU) and identify treatment-seeking military personnel who are unlikely to respond adequately to TAU for the reduction of suicidal ideation.
  • Aim 2: To evaluate the performance of the treatment prognosis calculator in a new sample of treatment-seeking military personnel and determine whether BCBT is more effective than TAU for those patients who are predicted not to respond adequately to TAU.

Participants will receive mental health treatment as it is typically administered by their mental healthcare treatment team. Members of their mental healthcare treatment team may receive intensive training in BCBT. After their provider has received this training, they may use this treatment as part of standard of care treatment. The timing of this training will be determined randomly. Participants will complete self-report assessments at the beginning of the study (baseline) as well as 3, 6, 9 and 12 months after their participant begins. These assessments will include questions about feelings, thoughts, moods, impulses, substance use, and behavior.

Study Overview

Study Type

Interventional

Enrollment (Estimated)

1200

Phase

  • Not Applicable

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Contact

Study Locations

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  1. female and male active duty service members;
  2. => 18 years old;
  3. engaged in mental health treatment at one of the sites at study enrollment;
  4. score >0 on the Columbia Suicide Severity Rating Scale (CSSRS) Screener-Recent, or indicated suicidal ideation on questions 4 or 5 of the Scale for Suicidal Ideation, indicating suicidal ideation within the last month;
  5. able to understand and speak English;
  6. able to provide consent.

Exclusion Criteria:

(1) participants with a psychiatric or medical condition that prevents them from providing informed consent or from participating in the treatments (e.g., psychosis, mania, acute intoxication).

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

  • Primary Purpose: Prevention
  • Allocation: Randomized
  • Interventional Model: Parallel Assignment
  • Masking: Single

Arms and Interventions

Participant Group / Arm
Intervention / Treatment
Active Comparator: Treatment as Usual (TAU)
TAU may include (1) routine suicide risk screening and assessment; (2) safety planning with means restriction; and (3) the Collaborative Assessment and Management of Suicidality (CAMS), an evidence-based approach to managing and treating suicidal patients.
Behavioral health treatment as it is typically provided at the treatment site.
Experimental: Brief Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (BCBT)
BCBT consists of 12 outpatient individual psychotherapy sessions scheduled weekly or biweekly. The first session is 90 minutes and subsequent sessions are 60 minutes. BCBT is divided into three phases. In phase 1 (5 sessions), the therapist conducts a detailed assessment of the patient's most recent suicidal episode or suicide attempt, identifies patient-specific factors that contribute to and maintain suicidal behaviors, provides a cognitive-behavioral conceptualization, collaboratively develops a crisis response plan, and teaches basic emotion regulation skills. In phase 2 (5 sessions), the therapist teaches cognitive restructuring skills to build cognitive flexibility. In phase 3 (2 sessions), a relapse prevention task is conducted, and participants must demonstrate the ability to successfully complete this task in order to terminate the treatment. Additional sessions are conducted until participants demonstrate the ability to successfully complete this task.
BCBT was developed to provide patients with the skills they need to better manage the cognitive, emotional, physiological, and behavioral components of acute suicidal crises.

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Suicidal Ideation
Time Frame: 6 Months
Assess severity of suicidal ideation at 6 months with the Scale for Suicide Ideation (SSI)
6 Months

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Suicide Attempts
Time Frame: 12 Months
Suicide attempts will be assessed with the Self-Injurious Thoughts and Behaviors Interview-Revised (SITBI-R)
12 Months
Depression
Time Frame: 12 Months
Depression will be assessed with the PROMIS-Depression Computer Adaptive Test (CAT)
12 Months
Hopelessness
Time Frame: 12 Months
Hopelessness will be assessed with the abbreviated Beck Hopelessness Scale (BHS)
12 Months

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

October 31, 2023

Primary Completion (Estimated)

August 31, 2026

Study Completion (Estimated)

August 31, 2027

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

October 3, 2023

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

October 16, 2023

First Posted (Actual)

October 23, 2023

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

February 25, 2026

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

February 23, 2026

Last Verified

February 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

Other Study ID Numbers

  • 2022H0245

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

NO

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

product manufactured in and exported from the U.S.

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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