Validation of Sudden Cardiac Arrest Risk Factors in Patients With CAD (SCAR)

Validation of Sudden Cardiac Arrest Risk Factors in Patients With CAD - CVDLINK Clinical Validation Study.

Long-term sudden cardiac death (abbreviation: SCAR) focuses on improving the predictability of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients diagnosed with coronary artery disease. The aim of the study is to determine the predictive value of measurable biological variables (including genetic factors, cardiac electrical activity, biological markers measured from circulation, and coronary artery anatomy) as well as the patients' psychosocial factors in predicting SCDs.

The purpose of this study is the identification of a subgroup of coronary artery disease patients at sufficiently high risk in whom it may be possible to prevent sudden cardiac arrests and subsequent deaths using implantable cardioverter-defibrillators. The study is intended to establish a clear foundation for future interventional studies targeting high-risk coronary artery disease patients.

The primary endpoint of the study is SCD/sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) or a comparable malignant arrhythmic event (i.e., resuscitation). Secondary endpoints include other major cardiovascular events occurring during the follow-up period (such as cerebrovascular events, myocardial infarctions, revascularizations, and new arrhythmias like atrial fibrillation following procedures or after the patient has been discharged following recruitment) or the occurrence and mortality of other significant life-threatening diseases (such as cancer). Secondary endpoints also include poor success in secondary prevention, which can be assessed through completed medication purchases and the achievement of secondary prevention goals.

This observational, prospective study includes collecting multimodal data from hospitals in Finland (TAUH), Israel (HYMC), Moldova (IMSP) and Romania (UMFCD). Each participating institution has followed a process structured by Tampere Heart Hospital (TAUH) for securing permissions in line with EU and national regulations.

Study Overview

• Status: Recruiting
• Conditions: Sudden Cardiac Death; Sudden Cardiac Arrest; Coronary Arterial Disease (CAD)

Detailed Description

Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) and sudden cardiac death (SCD) are most commonly caused by malignant ventricular arrhythmias in patients with underlying coronary artery disease (CAD). Current risk stratification strategies, largely based on left ventricular ejection fraction, identify only a minority of patients who will experience SCA/SCD. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors lack sufficient specificity for arrhythmic death and are frequently associated with competing non-arrhythmic mortality. Improved, biologically informed risk prediction tools are therefore needed.

This prospective, multicenter observational study is designed to validate and refine multimodal risk prediction models for SCA/SCD in patients with imaging-confirmed CAD. Recruitment is planned between 2024 and 2026 across centers in Finland, Israel, Romania, and Moldova, with long-term follow-up extending up to 10-15 years. The anticipated total sample size is approximately 1,500-2,000 participants.

Baseline data collection includes comprehensive clinical information, imaging findings, electrocardiographic parameters, circulating biomarkers, lifestyle factors, and genetic samples. Imaging and biosignal data are stored in standardized digital formats to enable advanced analyses. Biological samples are stored for future genomic (including full genome sequencing and RNA expression data) and molecular analyses. All participants receive guideline-directed care; no experimental interventions are introduced.

The primary objective is to evaluate the performance of an AI-based risk assessment framework in identifying CAD patients at elevated risk of SCA/SCD, particularly during the first year after coronary angiography, and to assess its long-term predictive performance. Additional objectives include validation of previously reported arrhythmic risk markers, development of updated multivariable risk models, and evaluation of postoperative atrial fibrillation risk in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting.

Primary endpoints include incident SCA, SCD, or equivalent malignant ventricular arrhythmic events. Secondary endpoints include major cardiovascular events, device therapies, heart failure hospitalization, new-onset atrial fibrillation, and all-cause mortality. Endpoints are adjudicated locally by blinded physician panels based on registry data and clinical documentation, with competing causes of death taken into account in the analyses.

Data analysis focuses on evaluating associations between predefined exposure variables and clinical outcomes, validating predictive models across participating centers, and applying federated analytical approaches when appropriate to enable cross-population validation without sharing individual-level data.

The study is observational and does not alter patient management. All procedures comply with applicable regulatory and ethical requirements. Genetic and exploratory biomarker analyses are conducted for research purposes only and are not returned to participants.

• Study Type: Observational
• Enrollment (Estimated): 1500

Contacts and Locations

• Study Contact: Name: Jussi A Hernesniemi, MD, PhD; Phone Number: +358 04 17322932; Email: jussi.hernesniemi@sydansairaala.fi
• Study Contact Backup: Name: Juho T Tynkkynen, MD, PhD

Study Locations

• Israel
  • Hadera, Israel
    • Recruiting
    • The Medical Research Foundation for the Development of Infrastructure and Health Services near Hillel Yaffe Medical Center
    • Contact: Ofer Kobo, MD, PhD; Email: oferk@hymc.gov.il
    • Principal Investigator: Ofer Kobo, MD, PhD
• Moldova
  • Chisinau, Moldova
    • Recruiting
    • Instituția Medico-Sanitară Publică "Institutul de Cardiologie"
    • Contact: Catherine Beiu, MD; Phone Number: +373 22 727 511; Email: beiucatherine@gmail.com
    • Sub-Investigator: Catherine Beiu, MD
• Romania
  • Bucharest, Romania
    • Recruiting
    • Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy
    • Contact: Catalina L Andrei, MD; Phone Number: +40 21 334 3025; Email: catalina.andrei@umfcd.ro
    • Contact: Maria-Alexandra Ciuca-Pana, MD
    • Sub-Investigator: Maria-Alexandra Ciuca-Pana

Participation Criteria

Eligibility Criteria

• Ages Eligible for Study: Adult; Older Adult
• Accepts Healthy Volunteers: No

• Sampling Method: Non-Probability Sample

Study Population

All consecutive patients with coronary artery disease meeting the inclusion criteria during the recruitment period will be invited to participate

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

• Age ≥ 18 years old
• Ability to give informed consent

• Imaging confirmed diagnosis within the past 12 months (coronary artery angiography or contrast enhanced coronary computed tomography)

  •>50% of stenosis and/or fractional flow-reserve <0.8 verified by selective coronary angiography or by contrast enhanced coronary computed tomography (CT) or type I MI with atherosclerotic origin (despite stenosis percentage)

• Patients may be recruited during index event visit (out-patient clinic visit, invasive procedure, hospitalization) (or if logistically possible recall patients previously diagnosed within 12 months)

Exclusion Criteria:

• Age > 75 years of age
• Clinically significant previously treated valvular heart disease or requiring operative (surgical or endovascular) treatment within following three months
• Diagnosed severe neurodegenerative disease (ALS, myositis, multiple sclerosis, or Parkinson's disease) or known impaired cognitive function (MMSE <23)
• Known developmental disability impairing legal ability to give written consent
• Serious/active malignancy with possibly reduced life expectancy of <1 year (estimated by a physician)
• Inability to give written consent for some other reason
• Other significant cardiac condition severely linked to the risk of fatal ventricular arrhythmia (for example ARVCD, non-ischemic DCM, HCM or genetic long or short QT syndrome)
• Other cardiac disease with <1 years of life expectancy
• Do-Not-Resuscitate (DNR) order made due to any reason
• Previously done or planned cardiac, renal, or liver transplant
• Participation in another clinical trial where the active treatment

Study Plan

How is the study designed?

Number of groups / cohorts

1

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort
Patients with coronary artery disease; Patients with imaging verified coronary artery disease

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure	Measure Description	Time Frame
Incidence of Sudden Cardiac Arrest Within 12 Months	Number of sudden cardiac arrest occurring within one year of enrollment	1 year
Incidence of Sudden Cardiac Death Within 12 Months	The number of sudden deaths of cardiac origin occurring within 1 year of enrollment. These events are defined by ESC/AHA definitions but also inlcuding events that would have resulted in SCD had not successfully resuscitated by bystanders or emergency personnel if the event was witnessed.	1 year

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure	Measure Description	Time Frame
Incidence of Sudden Cardiac Arrest Within 10 years after enrollment	Sudden cardiac arrest at any point after enrolment	Ten years after enrolment
Incidence of Sudden Cardiac Death Within 10 years after enrollment	The number of sudden deaths of cardiac origin occurring within 1 year of enrollment. These events are defined by ESC/AHA definitions but also inlcuding events that would have resulted in SCD had not successfully resuscitated by bystanders or emergency personnel if the event was witnessed.	10 years
Post-operative atrial fibrillation	Atrial Fibrillation occurring after CABG	Within one month after CABG.

Collaborators and Investigators

• Sponsor: Tampere Heart Hospital
• Investigators: Principal Investigator: Jussi A Hernesniemi, MD, PhD, Tampere Heart Hospital

Publications and helpful links

Helpful Links

• CVD Link project webisite

Study record dates

Study Major Dates

• Study Start (Actual): January 5, 2025
• Primary Completion (Estimated): December 31, 2027
• Study Completion (Estimated): December 31, 2027

Study Registration Dates

• First Submitted: February 24, 2026
• First Submitted That Met QC Criteria: March 2, 2026
• First Posted (Actual): March 3, 2026

Study Record Updates

• Last Update Posted (Actual): March 3, 2026
• Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria: March 2, 2026
• Last Verified: March 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

• Keywords: genetics; Coronary artery disease; risk factors; Sudden cardiac death; Sudden cardiac arrest; post operative atrial fibrillation
• Additional Relevant MeSH Terms: Vascular Diseases; Cardiovascular Diseases; Pathologic Processes; Heart Diseases; Death; Arteriosclerosis; Arterial Occlusive Diseases; Coronary Disease; Myocardial Ischemia; Heart Arrest; Death, Sudden; Pathological Conditions, Signs and Symptoms; Coronary Artery Disease; Death, Sudden, Cardiac
• Other Study ID Numbers: 101137278 (Other Grant/Funding Number: HORIZON-HLTH-2023-TOOL-05-04)

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

• Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?: UNDECIDED
• IPD Plan Description: The data collected in the SCAR is used primarily for EU funded project CVD LINK. After CVD Link each participating center will decide of the use of the data based on local legislation and data protection regulations.

Drug and device information, study documents

• Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product: No
• Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product: No