Comparison of Multi-Round and Real-Time Delphi Survey Methods

September 1, 2021 updated by: Prof. Declan Devane, National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland

Multi-round Compared to Real-Time Delphi for Consensus in Core Outcome Set (COS) Development: A Randomised Trial

A two-group parallel randomised trial of Delphi survey methods.

Study Overview

Status

Recruiting

Detailed Description

Aim:

The aim of this trial is to compare a multi-round Delphi survey method with a Real-Time Delphi method on prioritised outcomes included in a core outcome set (COS). This trial is embedded within the COHESION study which is developing a COS for interventions for the treatment of neonatal encephalopathy.

Methods:

Stakeholders (parents/ caregivers of infants diagnosed and treated with neonatal encephalopathy, healthcare providers and researchers) will be randomised using stratified randomisation to take part in either a multi-round or Real-Time Delphi. Stakeholders will rate the importance of the same set of outcomes in both arms. We will compare the prioritised outcomes at the end of both surveys as well as other parameters such as feedback, initial condition and iteration effects.

Study Type

Interventional

Enrollment (Anticipated)

180

Phase

  • Not Applicable

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Contact

Study Locations

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Ages Eligible for Study

16 years and older (Adult, Older Adult)

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Genders Eligible for Study

All

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  • parents or caregivers of infants that have been diagnosed with and received treatment for neonatal encephalopathy
  • healthcare providers including:

    • neonatal nurse practitioners
    • midwives
    • obstetricians
    • neonatologists/paediatricians
    • neonatal/paediatric neurologists
    • general practitioners who provide long-term care for children with neonatal encephalopathy
    • policymakers
  • researchers/ academics with expertise in neonatal encephalopathy treatment.

Exclusion Criteria:

• participants not meeting the inclusion criteria

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

  • Primary Purpose: Health Services Research
  • Allocation: Randomized
  • Interventional Model: Parallel Assignment
  • Masking: None (Open Label)

Arms and Interventions

Participant Group / Arm
Intervention / Treatment
Experimental: Real-Time Delphi Method
The Real-Time Delphi Method involves a single-round Delphi survey rating the importance of outcomes for neonatal encephalopathy. Feedback on each outcome (participant's own rating score, rating of the outcome by stakeholder group and overall consensus results for that outcome) will be provided to the participant once they have rated an outcome. They can then modify how they rated the outcome based on this feedback if they wish. Participants can also re-visit and re-rate outcomes as many times as they wish when the survey is live. Duration will span approximately 5 weeks.
Participants will be asked to participate in an online Delphi survey (using one of two randomly allocated methods) to rate the importance of outcomes that should be measured to determine the effect of treatment for neonatal encephalopathy. Outcomes will be prioritised on their importance in a consensus-driven manner.
Active Comparator: Multi-round Delphi Method
The Multi-Round Delphi Method involves a three-round Delphi survey rating the importance of outcomes for neonatal encephalopathy. Feedback on each outcome (participant's own rating score, rating of the outcome by stakeholder group and overall consensus results for that outcome) will be provided to the participant at the end of Round 1 and the end of Round 2. Participants can then modify how they rated the outcome based on feedback, in Rounds 2 and 3, if they wish. Each survey Round will run for 3 weeks approximately. In between survey Rounds, there will be a downtime of approximately 10 days before providing feedback and a further 7 days before starting the next round. Duration will span approximately 14 weeks.
Participants will be asked to participate in an online Delphi survey (using one of two randomly allocated methods) to rate the importance of outcomes that should be measured to determine the effect of treatment for neonatal encephalopathy. Outcomes will be prioritised on their importance in a consensus-driven manner.

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Comparison of outcomes prioritised within each survey arm
Time Frame: End of both surveys (i.e. when the Multi-Round Delphi round 3 has finished and when the Real-Time Delphi has finished at the end of week 5).
Comparison of outcomes prioritised by respondents at the end of (i) the Real-time and (ii) multi-round Delphi processes. An outcome is judged 'prioritised' based on the proportion of respondents rating the outcome a 7-9 (inclusive) on a 9-point Likert scale (higher scores = higher importance for inclusion in the COS)
End of both surveys (i.e. when the Multi-Round Delphi round 3 has finished and when the Real-Time Delphi has finished at the end of week 5).

Secondary Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Feedback Effect
Time Frame: Through study completion, an average of 14 weeks.
The feedback effect will tell if the feedback provided to participants resulted in them amending the rating they have to each outcome on the 9-point scale (higher scores= higher importance for inclusion in the COS)
Through study completion, an average of 14 weeks.
Initial Condition Effect
Time Frame: During the Real-Time Delphi intervention (5 weeks).
The initial condition effect will capture if early participant's rating for each outcome on the 9-point scale ( higher scores= higher importance for inclusion in the COS) differs to rating given by later participants.
During the Real-Time Delphi intervention (5 weeks).
Iteration Effect
Time Frame: Through study completion, an average of 14 weeks.
The iteration effect will determine if there is a difference in how consensus is achieved on prioritising each outcome or not, between the Multi-Round and the Real-Time Delphi survey arms
Through study completion, an average of 14 weeks.
Comparison of outcomes prioritised within each survey arm with the final Core Outcome Set
Time Frame: Through study completion, an average of 1 year.
Comparison of the of outcome headings prioritised at the end of both the Real-Time and Multi-Round Delphi processes with the outcome headings in the final Core Outcome Set.
Through study completion, an average of 1 year.

Other Outcome Measures

Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Attrition rates
Time Frame: Attrition rates will be recorded at the end of round 1 (week 3) and round 2 (week 9) in the Multi-Round Delphi and at weeks 2 and 4 in the Real-Time Delphi arm.
Comparison of attrition rates between multi-round and Real-Time Delphi arms.
Attrition rates will be recorded at the end of round 1 (week 3) and round 2 (week 9) in the Multi-Round Delphi and at weeks 2 and 4 in the Real-Time Delphi arm.
Frequency of re-visiting the Real-Time Delphi arm
Time Frame: This will be measured when a participant visits the Real-Time Delphi survey and rates the outcomes fully for a second time (between the start of week 1 and the end of week 5).
Monitoring how often the Real-Time Delphi was re-visited by participants
This will be measured when a participant visits the Real-Time Delphi survey and rates the outcomes fully for a second time (between the start of week 1 and the end of week 5).
Usefulness, Satisfaction and Ease of Use of each survey arm
Time Frame: End of both surveys (i.e. when the Multi-Round Delphi round 3 (week 14) has finished and when the Real-Time Delphi has finished at the end of week 5)
Participants will be asked in a short questionnaire how they found answering each survey using a modified Usefulness, Satisfaction and Ease of use questionnaire on a 7-point Likert Scale where 1= Strongly Disagree and 7=Strongly Agree.
End of both surveys (i.e. when the Multi-Round Delphi round 3 (week 14) has finished and when the Real-Time Delphi has finished at the end of week 5)

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Investigators

  • Principal Investigator: Declan Devane, PhD, Health Research Board - Trials Methodology Research Network

Publications and helpful links

The person responsible for entering information about the study voluntarily provides these publications. These may be about anything related to the study.

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

August 13, 2021

Primary Completion (Anticipated)

February 7, 2022

Study Completion (Anticipated)

February 7, 2022

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

July 2, 2020

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

July 9, 2020

First Posted (Actual)

July 15, 2020

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

September 2, 2021

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

September 1, 2021

Last Verified

September 1, 2021

More Information

Terms related to this study

Other Study ID Numbers

  • NUIreland-COHESION

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

No

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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