Mortality Benefit of Ultrasound for Thyroid Nodules Identified With PET Imaging: Non-Inferiority Emulated Target Trial

April 17, 2026 updated by: Jeffrey P Guenette, Brigham and Women's Hospital

Mortality Benefit of Ultrasound for Incidental Thyroid Nodules Identified With PET Imaging: A Non-Inferiority Emulated Target Trial

The investigators hypothesize that all-cause mortality in patients with an incidental thyroid nodule on PET-CT who did not have thyroid ultrasound (the exposure) within 3 months of the PET-CT is non-inferior within a 5% margin to those who have thyroid ultrasound at 7-years. That is, among patients with an incidental thyroid nodule on PET-CT, mortality is no more than 5% larger (in absolute difference) for those who do not have thyroid ultrasound compared to those who do. The investigators will also report mortality differences at landmark timeframes of 1-year, 3-years, 5-years, and 10-years. To estimate group differences in mortality, the investigators will conduct a non-inferiority emulated target trial utilizing clone-censor weighting to address potential immortal time bias introduced by the 3-month grace period. The investigators will adjust for demographic, potential confounder, and mortality risk adjustor factors. The investigators will stratify analyses based on baseline disease severity (estimated 5-year relative survival risk) and disease status (progression, lymph node involvement, other sites of metastases). All subjects will be accrued from the Mass General Brigham healthcare system, which includes two academic medical centers, a specialty head and neck hospital, and multiple community hospitals and numerous community clinics.

Study Overview

Status

Status

Indicates the current recruitment status or the expanded access status.
Active, not recruiting

Conditions

Conditions

The disease, disorder, syndrome, illness, or injury that is being studied. On ClinicalTrials.gov, conditions may also include other health-related issues, such as lifespan, quality of life, and health risks.

Intervention / Treatment

Intervention / Treatment

A process or action that is the focus of a clinical study. Interventions include drugs, medical devices, procedures, vaccines, and other products that are either investigational or already available. Interventions can also include noninvasive approaches, such as education or modifying diet and exercise.

Detailed Description

Study Hypothesis: The investigators hypothesize that all-cause mortality in patients with an incidental thyroid nodule on PET-CT who did not have thyroid ultrasound within 3 months is no worse than 5% lower than those who did have ultrasound.

Outcome Measures:

Primary Outcome: All-cause mortality. Secondary Outcomes: Numbers of thyroid cancer diagnoses, thyroid ultrasounds, thyroid biopsies, and thyroid surgeries Exploratory Outcomes: Types of thyroid cancer diagnoses

Study Population: All patients age 18-years and older with incidental thyroid nodule on PET-CT performed between 1/1/2015 and 12/31/2021.

Sites/Facilities: Mass General Brigham healthcare system including Massachusetts General Hospital, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Mass Eye and Ear, and associated community sites.

Exposure: Thyroid ultrasound evaluation within 3-months of PET-CT.

Study Type

Study Type

Describes the nature of a clinical study. Study types include interventional studies (also called clinical trials), observational studies (including patient registries), and expanded access.
Observational

Enrollment (Estimated)

Enrollment

The number of participants in a clinical study. The "anticipated" enrollment is the target number of participants that the researchers need for the study.
5000

Contacts and Locations

This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.

Study Locations

  • United States
    • Massachusetts
      • Boston, Massachusetts, United States, 02115
        • Brigham and Women's Hospital

Participation Criteria

Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person's general health condition or prior treatments.

Eligibility Criteria

Eligibility Criteria

The key requirements that people who want to participate in a clinical study must meet or the characteristics they must have. Eligibility criteria consist of both inclusion criteria (which are required for a person to participate in the study) and exclusion criteria (which prevent a person from participating). Types of eligibility criteria include whether a study accepts healthy volunteers, has age or age group requirements, or is limited by sex.

Ages Eligible for Study

  • Adult
  • Older Adult

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sampling Method

Probability Sample

Study Population

Patients who had a PET-CT at Mass General Brigham 1/1/2015 to 12/31/2021

Description

Inclusion Criteria:

  1. Age >=18
  2. Thyroid nodule on PET-CT performed 1/1/2015 to 12/31/2021
  3. At least one clinical note in the EHR from the 36-month window prior to the PET

Exclusion Criteria:

  1. Thyroid ultrasound listed in the medical record in the prior 3 years
  2. Documented history of prior thyroid cancer diagnosis

Study Plan

This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.

How is the study designed?

Design Details

Cohorts and Interventions

Group / Cohort

Group / Cohort

A group or subgroup of participants in an observational study that is assessed for biomedical or health outcomes.
Intervention / Treatment

Intervention / Treatment

A process or action that is the focus of a clinical study. Interventions include drugs, medical devices, procedures, vaccines, and other products that are either investigational or already available. Interventions can also include noninvasive approaches, such as education or modifying diet and exercise.
Patients with thyroid nodule on PET
Diagnostic test: Thyroid Ultrasound
Thyroid ultrasound performed within 3 months of PET to characterize a thyroid nodule identified on the PET

What is the study measuring?

Primary Outcome Measures

Primary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, the planned outcome measure that is the most important for evaluating the effect of an intervention/treatment. Most clinical studies have one primary outcome measure, but some have more than one.
Outcome Measure
Time Frame
All-Cause Mortality
Time Frame: 7 Years
7 Years

Secondary Outcome Measures

Secondary Outcome Measures

In a clinical study's protocol, a planned outcome measure that is not as important as the primary outcome measure for evaluating the effect of an intervention but is still of interest. Most clinical studies have more than one secondary outcome measure.
Outcome Measure
Time Frame
Number of Thyroid Cancer Diagnoses
Time Frame: 7 Years
7 Years
Number of Thyroid Ultrasound Examinations
Time Frame: 7 Years
7 Years
Number of Thyroid Biopsies
Time Frame: 7 Years
7 Years
Number of Thyroid Surgeries
Time Frame: 7 Years
7 Years

Other Outcome Measures

Other Outcome Measures

For clinical trials, a planned measurement described in the protocol that is used to determine the effect of an intervention/treatment on participants. For observational studies, a measurement or observation that is used to describe patterns of diseases or traits, or associations with exposures, risk factors, or treatment. Types of outcome measures include primary outcome measure and secondary outcome measure.
Outcome Measure
Measure Description
Time Frame
Types of Thyroid Cancers
Time Frame: 7 Years
Exploratory
7 Years

Collaborators and Investigators

This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.

Sponsor

Sponsor

The organization or person who initiates the study and who has authority and control over the study.
Brigham and Women's Hospital

Collaborators

Collaborators

An organization other than the sponsor that provides support for a clinical study. This support may include activities related to funding, design, implementation, data analysis, or reporting.
Harvard School of Public Health (HSPH)
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ)

Study record dates

These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.

Study Major Dates

Study Start (Actual)

Study Start

The actual date on which the first participant was enrolled in a clinical study. The "anticipated" study start date is the date that the researchers think will be the study start date.
October 15, 2025

Primary Completion (Actual)

Primary Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention to collect final data for the primary outcome measure. Whether the clinical study ended according to the protocol or was terminated does not affect this date. For clinical studies with more than one primary outcome measure with different completion dates, this term refers to the date on which data collection is completed for all the primary outcome measures. The "anticipated" primary completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the primary completion date for the study.
November 30, 2025

Study Completion (Estimated)

Study Completion

The date on which the last participant in a clinical study was examined or received an intervention/treatment to collect final data for the primary outcome measures, secondary outcome measures, and adverse events (that is, the last participant's last visit). The "anticipated" study completion date is the date that the researchers think will be the study completion date.
June 30, 2026

Study Registration Dates

First Submitted

First Submitted

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submitted a study record to ClinicalTrials.gov. There is typically a delay of a few days between the first submitted date and the record's availability on ClinicalTrials.gov (the first posted date).
November 20, 2025

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

First Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The date on which the study sponsor or investigator first submits a study record that is consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. The sponsor or investigator may need to revise and submit a study record one or more times before NLM's QC review criteria are met. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
November 20, 2025

First Posted (Actual)

First Posted

The date on which the study record was first available on ClinicalTrials.gov after National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review has concluded. There is typically a delay of a few days between the date the study sponsor or investigator submitted the study record and the first posted date.
December 1, 2025

Study Record Updates

Last Update Posted (Actual)

Last Update Posted

The most recent date on which changes to a study record were made available on ClinicalTrials.gov. There may be a delay between when the changes were submitted to ClinicalTrials.gov by the study's sponsor or investigator (the last update submitted date) and the last update posted date.
April 21, 2026

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator submitted changes to a study record that are consistent with National Library of Medicine (NLM) quality control (QC) review criteria. It is the responsibility of the sponsor or investigator to ensure that the study record is consistent with the NLM QC review criteria.
April 17, 2026

Last Verified

Last Verified

The most recent date on which the study sponsor or investigator confirmed the information about a clinical study on ClinicalTrials.gov as accurate and current. If a study with a recruitment status of recruiting; not yet recruiting; or active, not recruiting has not been confirmed within the past 2 years, the study's recruitment status is shown as unknown.
March 1, 2026

More Information

Terms related to this study

Additional Relevant MeSH Terms

Other Study ID Numbers

Other Study ID Numbers

Identifiers or ID numbers other than the NCT number that are assigned to a clinical study by the study's sponsor, funders, or others. These numbers may include unique identifiers from other trial registries and National Institutes of Health grant numbers.
  • 2024P002073-1
  • R18HS029839 (U.S. AHRQ Grant/Contract)

Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)

Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?

YES

IPD Plan Description

All deidentified data used in the study analysis.

IPD Sharing Time Frame

Study protocol with study analysis plan submitted at time of clinicaltrials.gov registration. IPD and analytic code will be shared upon manuscript publication.

IPD Sharing Access Criteria

General public via the Harvard Dataverse repository.

IPD Sharing Supporting Information Type

  • STUDY_PROTOCOL
  • SAP
  • ANALYTIC_CODE

Drug and device information, study documents

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product

No

Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product

No

This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.

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