- ICH GCP
- US Clinical Trials Registry
- Clinical Trial NCT04416347
COVID19 Clinical Predictors and Outcome
COVID-19, Clinical Predictors and Evolution of Disease in Hospitalised and Intensive Care Patients at St George's Hospital
In December 2019, a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) emerged in Wuhan, Hubei, China, and now spreads across international borders. As of 11 April 2020, the total global number of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases reached 1,521,252 (92,798 deaths); with 65,081 (7,978 deaths) being reported in the United Kingdom.
COVID-19 is the name of the disease associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and includes a spectrum of illness that ranges from mild infection to severe pneumonia that can progress to respiratory failure and Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) or septic shock. Between 8 to 15% (depending on geographical setting) of all SARS-CoV-2 positive cases can be classified as severe or necessitating intensive care unit (ICU) admission.
In the early stages of the outbreak unfolding, several retrospective case studies and cases series carried out in China reported that those who died were more likely to be male, and more likely to have underlying comorbidities. Prevalence studies conducted in the US and Italy show similar trends in the distribution of comorbidities among SARS-CoV-2 severe cases; adding obesity (BMI>30) to the list of factors potentially associated with disease severity. However, the relative importance of different underlying health conditions remains unclear owing to inadequate adjustment for important confounding factors such as age, sex, and smoking status.
We propose a cohort study to evaluate predictors, clinical evolution and excess of mortality of SARS-CoV-2 in hospitalised patients, with two main workstreams- the first looking at all patients admitted to SGHFT and the second looking at patients admitted to ITU with respiratory failure.
Study Overview
Detailed Description
The majority of published reports on early clinical descriptions of COVID-19 have emerged from Hubei province in China, and although these provide valuable information, the lack of standardised mortality and morbidity ratios hinders comparison of outcome experience across populations. Also, most of the data available originate from descriptive cases or series that do not account for confounding effect; so, as yet there are no specific data on how the risks associated with underlying comorbidities might vary in different population groups or settings.
Recognition of risk factors for morbidity and mortality is important to determine prevention strategies as well as to target high-risk populations for potential therapeutics. So, in this study we aim to develop a predictive statistical model to identify baseline predictors of mortality including underlying health conditions and biomarker levels at admission to improve the understanding of the clinical evolution of patients with severe COVID-19.
An approximative 20-30% of regular admissions in the ICU are with respiratory failure. A considerably higher number is expected in the current climate. Government policies have aimed to flatten the epidemic curve to ease the pressure on the NHS to ensure as many people as possible have access to the appropriate level of intensive care. However, even in the best-case scenario, the number of people requiring level 3 care in ICU may be ten times the current capacity.
The excess of mortality due to SARS-CoV-2 in this population hasn't been fully assessed. It is unknown if the evolution of this disease shares common characteristics with other bacterial or viral infections. This information is invaluable in order to shape diagnostic protocols, prevent complications and design therapeutic strategies.
Study Type
Enrollment (Anticipated)
Contacts and Locations
Study Locations
-
-
-
London, United Kingdom, SW17 0RE
- Recruiting
- St. George's University Hospitals Foundation Trust.
-
Contact:
- Timothy D Planche, Dr.
- Phone Number: 02087252683
-
-
Participation Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Ages Eligible for Study
Accepts Healthy Volunteers
Genders Eligible for Study
Sampling Method
Study Population
The study population for workstream 1, will comprise adults (>=18years) with or without laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection admitted to SGHFT between 01 December 2019 and 30 April 2022.
The study population for workstream 2, will comprise adults (>=18years) with respiratory failure (all causes) admitted to intensive care between 01 December 2019 and 30 April 2022.
Description
Workstream 1
Inclusion Criteria:
- Adults (aged ≥18 years).
- Patients attending SGHFT.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Children and adolescents (< 18 years). Workstream 2
Inclusion Criteria:
- Adult (aged ≥18 years) patients admitted to ICU areas during the period of study
Presence of acute respiratory failure: this is defined by meeting all the following criteria:
- Onset over 1 week or less
- Presence of consolidation, or bilateral opacities on CT or chest radiograph.
- PaO2 < 8 kPa on FiO2 0.21 or requirement of non-invasive ventilation (NIV), high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) or mechanical ventilation
Exclusion Criteria:
- Respiratory symptoms explained by cardiac failure or fluid overload alone
Study Plan
How is the study designed?
Design Details
Cohorts and Interventions
Group / Cohort |
Intervention / Treatment |
---|---|
Workstream 1
Adult patients admitted to SGHFT (St.
Georges Hospital Foundation Trust) with or without laboratory confirmed SARS- CoV-2.
|
Laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV2
|
Workstream 2
Adult patients admitted to to SGHFT (St.
Georges Hospital Foundation Trust) ITU with respiratory failure.
|
Laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV2
|
What is the study measuring?
Primary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
---|---|---|
SARS-CoV-2 hospital mortality
Time Frame: 6 months from admission
|
To assess mortality in SARS-CoV-2 patients admitted to SGHFT wards.
|
6 months from admission
|
SARS-CoV-2 mortality in critical care unit
Time Frame: 6 months from admission
|
To assess the risk of death attributable to COVID-19, in comparison with non-Covid-19, in patients admitted to critical care with respiratory failure.
|
6 months from admission
|
Collaborators and Investigators
Study record dates
Study Major Dates
Study Start (Actual)
Primary Completion (Anticipated)
Study Completion (Anticipated)
Study Registration Dates
First Submitted
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Posted (Actual)
Study Record Updates
Last Update Posted (Actual)
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Verified
More Information
Terms related to this study
Other Study ID Numbers
- 2020.0115
Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)
Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?
Drug and device information, study documents
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product
This information was retrieved directly from the website clinicaltrials.gov without any changes. If you have any requests to change, remove or update your study details, please contact register@clinicaltrials.gov. As soon as a change is implemented on clinicaltrials.gov, this will be updated automatically on our website as well.
Clinical Trials on SARS-CoV 2
-
Argorna Pharmaceuticals Co., LTDCompleted
-
Argorna Pharmaceuticals Co., LTDCompleted
-
CSPC ZhongQi Pharmaceutical Technology Co., Ltd.Active, not recruiting
-
AIM Vaccine Co., Ltd.First Affiliated Hospital Bengbu Medical College; Ningbo Rongan Biological...Active, not recruiting
-
Arcturus Therapeutics, Inc.Terminated
-
University Hospital Inselspital, BerneUniversity of Bern; Lucerne University of Applied Sciences and ArtsCompleted
-
Centre Hospitalier Universitaire DijonUnknown
-
AIM Vaccine Co., Ltd.Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and PreventionNot yet recruiting
-
AIM Vaccine Co., Ltd.First Affiliated Hospital Bengbu Medical College; Ningbo Rongan Biological...Not yet recruiting
-
AIM Vaccine Co., Ltd.First Affiliated Hospital Bengbu Medical CollegeActive, not recruiting
Clinical Trials on SARS-CoV2 Infection
-
Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de NiceUnknownCovid19 | SARS-CoV InfectionFrance
-
Centre Hospitalier Intercommunal CreteilAssociation Clinique Thérapeutique Infantile du val de Marne; GPIP; Francophone...Withdrawn
-
Direction Centrale du Service de Santé des ArméesCompleted
-
Rutgers, The State University of New JerseyNational Institute of Dental and Craniofacial Research (NIDCR)Completed
-
Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de ParisCompleted
-
Direction Centrale du Service de Santé des ArméesCompletedCovid19 | SARS-CoV InfectionFrance
-
Direction Centrale du Service de Santé des ArméesCompleted
-
Rutgers, The State University of New JerseyNational Institute of Dental and Craniofacial Research (NIDCR)Completed