- ICH GCP
- US Clinical Trials Registry
- Clinical Trial NCT05060562
Post Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Syndrome Indonesian Population
Predictors of the Occurrence of Post Coronavirus Disease Syndrome Among COVID-19 Patients in Indonesia
Background and Objective Persistent symptoms after COVID 19 episodes (or referred to as Long COVID) can appear at a certain period and affect the quality of life of the patients, as well as introduce other comorbidities. It is important to address the associated factors of persistent symptoms after the COVID 19 episode. By identifying these factors, a screening method could be deployed to detect individuals that are prone to persistent COVID 19 symptoms.
Method:
This cohort study recruit COVID 19 patients at all stages in Indonesia (including people who underwent home isolation). Patient-based clinical information is collected from the patient including the demographic information, general health status, COVID 19 vaccination, and COVID 19 treatment. The outcome is the occurrence of persistent COVID 19-related symptoms after being declared as cured. A logistic regression model and Cox Regression are applied to the model to find the associated factors. Machine learning and Deep Learning model will be constructed and deployed into a web-based application for a further screening program.
Hypothesis:
- There is an association between duration of COVID episode, repeated COVID episode, and the presence of persistent COVID 19 Symptoms
- Vaccinated individual who was infected with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) Coronavirus 2 (COV2) will have less persistent COVID 19 symptoms
- Individuals with comorbidities are prone to persistent COVID 19 Symptoms
- Appropriate medications (including early administration of antiviral therapy) lead to a lower probability of persistent COVID 19 Symptoms
Study Overview
Status
Conditions
Intervention / Treatment
Detailed Description
Target Population:
As explained in the study population section
Recruitment
- Snowball technique from the COVID 19 survivor groups
- Online questionnaire is provided to obtain the data
Data Source:
- Medical Resume
- Laboratory Information possessed by individuals
- Telemedicine observation possessed by individuals
Predictors:
- Demographic factors (age at diagnosis and current age at data collection, sex at birth, occupation, education, province of domicile, and possession of health insurance during COVID 19 infection)
- General health status (Body Mass Index, presence of chronic disease and comorbidities, smoking, alcohol drinking, moderate physical activity)
- History of COVID 19 vaccination (date, type of vaccine, booster dose, side effect, and medication following the vaccination)
- COVID 19 episode (date of diagnosis, method of diagnosis confirmation, history of suspected SARS COV2 reinfection, Cycle-Threshold (CT) value, the symptoms and duration of the symptoms, medication, oxygen supplementation, hospitalization, or receiving plasma convalescent therapy)
List of persistent COVID 19 symptoms in this study (and not limited to)
Neurological and Psychiatric symptoms
- Anxiety
- Depression
- Sleep disturbances
- PTSD
- Cognitive impairment
Ear Nose Throat symptoms
- Persistent anosmia
- Persistent ageusia
- Tinnitus and other hearing disorders
Respiratory Symptoms
- Chronic cough
- Shortness of breath
Cardiovascular symptoms
- Peripheral artery disease
- New onset of arrhythmia
- Carditis (either pericarditis or myocarditis)
Hematological symptoms
• Thromboembolic event
Renal Disorder
• Reduced filtration function
Musculoskeletal disorder
- Chronic fatigue
- Joint pain
- Muscular pain
Dermatology disorder
- Rash
- Hair loss
Gastrointestinal disorder
- Chronic Diarrhea
- Irritable Bowel Syndrome
Study Size
- The one-sample proportion formula
- Type I error value as 5%.
- The prevalence of COVID 19 in Indonesia is 1%
- Absolute value of margin of error set as 0.5%
- the total sample needed is 1152 participants.
Proposed Statistical Analysis
- Data cleaning was conducted
- No imputation to missing data
- Descriptive statistics and normality tests
- Logistic regression to analyze the associated factors of each outcome followed by estimating the adjusted odds ratio.
- The time-to-event analysis for post COVID symptoms was conducted in a certain subgroup of the variables using the cox regression model.
- Neural Network model and deployment into a web-based application
Study Type
Enrollment (Actual)
Contacts and Locations
Study Contact
- Name: Bumi Herman, M.D.Ph.D
- Phone Number: 0638275008
- Email: bumiherman@med.unhas.ac.id
Study Contact Backup
- Name: Pramon Viwattanakulvanid, Ph.D
- Email: pramon.v@chula.ac.th
Study Locations
-
-
North Maluku
-
Ternate, North Maluku, Indonesia
- Khairun University Faculty of Medicine
-
-
South Sulawesi
-
Makasar, South Sulawesi, Indonesia, 90245
- Hasanuddin University Medical Research Center / HUMRC
-
-
Participation Criteria
Eligibility Criteria
Ages Eligible for Study
Accepts Healthy Volunteers
Sampling Method
Study Population
Any stage of Coronavirus Disease 2019 patients during the pandemic in Indonesia that are able to provide their clinical information and daily observation with the details as follows
- Asymptomatic or mild cases who underwent home isolation with telemedicine
- Patient admitted to the field hospital for close monitoring (including asymptomatic or mild cases with comorbidities)
- Patient admitted to the general hospital that requires oxygen supplementation, plasma convalescent therapy, or intensive care.
Source of data including :
- Daily observation record
- Laboratory information
- Medical Resume given to the patient
Description
Inclusion criteria
- Age above 18 years old
- Diagnosed as Coronavirus Disease 2019 by RT- PCR, or Rapid Antigen
Exclusion Criteria
- Unable to retrieve information regarding the persistent symptoms
- Died within six months after declared as cured
Study Plan
How is the study designed?
Design Details
Cohorts and Interventions
Group / Cohort |
Intervention / Treatment |
---|---|
Post COVID 19 symptoms Positive
The presence of persistent COVID-related symptoms after being cured.
|
Diagnosed as COVID 19 patient using Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) with the nasopharyngeal swab, or Rapid Antigen test of nasopharyngeal swab with suggestive symptoms.
Suspected COVID 19 patients who were tested negative using either Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) with the nasopharyngeal swab, or Rapid Antigen test of nasopharyngeal swab.
|
Post COVID 19 symptoms Negative
No persistent COVID-related symptoms after cured
|
Diagnosed as COVID 19 patient using Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) with the nasopharyngeal swab, or Rapid Antigen test of nasopharyngeal swab with suggestive symptoms.
Suspected COVID 19 patients who were tested negative using either Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) with the nasopharyngeal swab, or Rapid Antigen test of nasopharyngeal swab.
|
What is the study measuring?
Primary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
---|---|---|
Presence of post COVID 19 Symptoms two weeks
Time Frame: within two weeks after declared cured
|
Any COVID-related symptoms persist after declared cured.
Defined as a binary response, yes or no
|
within two weeks after declared cured
|
Presence of post COVID 19 Symptoms four weeks
Time Frame: within four weeks after declared cured
|
Any COVID-related symptoms persist after declared cured.
Defined as a binary response, yes or no
|
within four weeks after declared cured
|
Presence of post COVID 19 Symptoms eight weeks
Time Frame: within eight weeks after declared cured
|
Any COVID-related symptoms persist after declared cured.
Defined as a binary response, yes or no
|
within eight weeks after declared cured
|
Presence of post COVID 19 Symptoms twelve weeks
Time Frame: within twelve weeks after declared cured
|
Any COVID-related symptoms persist after declared cured.
Defined as a binary response, yes or no
|
within twelve weeks after declared cured
|
Presence of post COVID 19 Symptoms six months
Time Frame: within six months after declared cured
|
Any COVID-related symptoms persist after declared cured.
Defined as a binary response, yes or no
|
within six months after declared cured
|
Secondary Outcome Measures
Outcome Measure |
Measure Description |
Time Frame |
---|---|---|
Presence of post COVID 19 Symptoms among vaccinated individual diagnosed with COVID 19
Time Frame: within six months after declared cured
|
Any COVID-related symptoms persist after declared cured among vaccinated individual.
Defined as a binary response, yes or no
|
within six months after declared cured
|
Collaborators and Investigators
Sponsor
Collaborators
Investigators
- Principal Investigator: Bumi Herman, M.D Ph.D, Chulalongkorn University
- Study Director: Sathirakorn Pongpanich, Ph.D, Chulalongkorn University
- Principal Investigator: Pramon Viwattanakulvanid, Ph.D, Chulalongkorn University
Publications and helpful links
General Publications
- Carfi A, Bernabei R, Landi F; Gemelli Against COVID-19 Post-Acute Care Study Group. Persistent Symptoms in Patients After Acute COVID-19. JAMA. 2020 Aug 11;324(6):603-605. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.12603.
- Huang C, Huang L, Wang Y, Li X, Ren L, Gu X, Kang L, Guo L, Liu M, Zhou X, Luo J, Huang Z, Tu S, Zhao Y, Chen L, Xu D, Li Y, Li C, Peng L, Li Y, Xie W, Cui D, Shang L, Fan G, Xu J, Wang G, Wang Y, Zhong J, Wang C, Wang J, Zhang D, Cao B. 6-month consequences of COVID-19 in patients discharged from hospital: a cohort study. Lancet. 2021 Jan 16;397(10270):220-232. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32656-8. Epub 2021 Jan 8.
- Greenhalgh T, Knight M, A'Court C, Buxton M, Husain L. Management of post-acute covid-19 in primary care. BMJ. 2020 Aug 11;370:m3026. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m3026. No abstract available.
- Lam MH, Wing YK, Yu MW, Leung CM, Ma RC, Kong AP, So WY, Fong SY, Lam SP. Mental morbidities and chronic fatigue in severe acute respiratory syndrome survivors: long-term follow-up. Arch Intern Med. 2009 Dec 14;169(22):2142-7. doi: 10.1001/archinternmed.2009.384.
- Hui DS, Joynt GM, Wong KT, Gomersall CD, Li TS, Antonio G, Ko FW, Chan MC, Chan DP, Tong MW, Rainer TH, Ahuja AT, Cockram CS, Sung JJ. Impact of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) on pulmonary function, functional capacity and quality of life in a cohort of survivors. Thorax. 2005 May;60(5):401-9. doi: 10.1136/thx.2004.030205.
- Ahmed H, Patel K, Greenwood DC, Halpin S, Lewthwaite P, Salawu A, Eyre L, Breen A, O'Connor R, Jones A, Sivan M. Long-term clinical outcomes in survivors of severe acute respiratory syndrome and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus outbreaks after hospitalisation or ICU admission: A systematic review and meta-analysis. J Rehabil Med. 2020 May 31;52(5):jrm00063. doi: 10.2340/16501977-2694.
- Lee SH, Shin HS, Park HY, Kim JL, Lee JJ, Lee H, Won SD, Han W. Depression as a Mediator of Chronic Fatigue and Post-Traumatic Stress Symptoms in Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Survivors. Psychiatry Investig. 2019 Jan;16(1):59-64. doi: 10.30773/pi.2018.10.22.3. Epub 2019 Jan 7.
- Moldofsky H, Patcai J. Chronic widespread musculoskeletal pain, fatigue, depression and disordered sleep in chronic post-SARS syndrome; a case-controlled study. BMC Neurol. 2011 Mar 24;11:37. doi: 10.1186/1471-2377-11-37.
- Shah W, Hillman T, Playford ED, Hishmeh L. Managing the long term effects of covid-19: summary of NICE, SIGN, and RCGP rapid guideline. BMJ. 2021 Jan 22;372:n136. doi: 10.1136/bmj.n136. No abstract available. Erratum In: BMJ. 2022 Jan 19;376:o126.
- Moreno-Perez O, Merino E, Leon-Ramirez JM, Andres M, Ramos JM, Arenas-Jimenez J, Asensio S, Sanchez R, Ruiz-Torregrosa P, Galan I, Scholz A, Amo A, Gonzalez-delaAleja P, Boix V, Gil J; COVID19-ALC research group. Post-acute COVID-19 syndrome. Incidence and risk factors: A Mediterranean cohort study. J Infect. 2021 Mar;82(3):378-383. doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2021.01.004. Epub 2021 Jan 12.
- Jacobs LG, Gourna Paleoudis E, Lesky-Di Bari D, Nyirenda T, Friedman T, Gupta A, Rasouli L, Zetkulic M, Balani B, Ogedegbe C, Bawa H, Berrol L, Qureshi N, Aschner JL. Persistence of symptoms and quality of life at 35 days after hospitalization for COVID-19 infection. PLoS One. 2020 Dec 11;15(12):e0243882. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0243882. eCollection 2020.
Helpful Links
Study record dates
Study Major Dates
Study Start (Actual)
Primary Completion (Actual)
Study Completion (Actual)
Study Registration Dates
First Submitted
First Submitted That Met QC Criteria
First Posted (Actual)
Study Record Updates
Last Update Posted (Actual)
Last Update Submitted That Met QC Criteria
Last Verified
More Information
Terms related to this study
Keywords
Additional Relevant MeSH Terms
Other Study ID Numbers
- 1407212101
Plan for Individual participant data (IPD)
Plan to Share Individual Participant Data (IPD)?
IPD Plan Description
Drug and device information, study documents
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated drug product
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated device product
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